kicker77 Posted October 21, 2009 Share Posted October 21, 2009 I love the rankings and they've helped me make some good decisions... But, I've always been confused by its volatility on a week-to-week basis. To me, if these are truly "Rest of Season" rankings, then one bad game should not drop a player 5-10 spots, which is frequently the case. In fact, one could make an argument that a bad game could/should actually result in a higher ranking (i.e. that player now has less weeks to accumulate the predicted stats). Likewise, if a WR goes off for 250/2, and his projected year-end stats are 1200/10, you could argue his "Rest of Season" rank should now be lower, since his projected stats are now significantly lower. Obviously, having a great game or a very poor game influences the year-end projections as well, but it just seems like the swings are huge after just one or two games, which seems to call into question the previous week's rankings. (I'm not going to do a full-out stat analysis, but some players that come to mind are Chris Johnson, Breaston, McNabb, Calvin.) Anyway, just wanted to throw my thoughts out there on this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackass Posted October 21, 2009 Share Posted October 21, 2009 I love the rankings and they've helped me make some good decisions... But, I've always been confused by its volatility on a week-to-week basis. To me, if these are truly "Rest of Season" rankings, then one bad game should not drop a player 5-10 spots, which is frequently the case. In fact, one could make an argument that a bad game could/should actually result in a higher ranking (i.e. that player now has less weeks to accumulate the predicted stats). Likewise, if a WR goes off for 250/2, and his projected year-end stats are 1200/10, you could argue his "Rest of Season" rank should now be lower, since his projected stats are now significantly lower. Obviously, having a great game or a very poor game influences the year-end projections as well, but it just seems like the swings are huge after just one or two games, which seems to call into question the previous week's rankings. (I'm not going to do a full-out stat analysis, but some players that come to mind are Chris Johnson, Breaston, McNabb, Calvin.) Anyway, just wanted to throw my thoughts out there on this. Wow, i just don't what to say to that logic. Just wow. I guess Lendale White should be a top 3 running back then since obviously he's going to average 2 td's a game for the rest of the year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Double Agent Posted October 21, 2009 Share Posted October 21, 2009 Wow, i just don't what to say to that logic. Just wow. I guess Lendale White should be a top 3 running back then since obviously he's going to average 2 td's a game for the rest of the year. I see where he's coming from. The Huddle recommended cutting McGahee but his rest of the season rankings have him at #29. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LayLow Posted October 21, 2009 Share Posted October 21, 2009 Wow, i just don't what to say to that logic. Just wow. I guess Lendale White should be a top 3 running back then since obviously he's going to average 2 td's a game for the rest of the year. You truely fit your name... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kicker77 Posted October 21, 2009 Author Share Posted October 21, 2009 I just think over the course of the entire season, wide movement in such a short period of time, especially for some more established players, based only on one good or bad game seems odd. For example: McNabb Rest of Season Ranking: Week 1: 6th (preseason rank) Week 2: 7th (prior week 3 tds, out w/broken rib) Week 3: 12th (DNP prior week) Week 4: 15th (DNP prior week) Week 5: 10th (DNP prior week - bye) Week 6: 5th (prior week 3 tds) Week 7: 10th (prior week 0 tds) (This is just one player, but I know there are several RBs & WRs with similar movements.) I'm not trying to make a mountain out of a mole hill (or whatever that expression is), but I'm not sure I agree with the premise that a well-established QB like McNabb can be ranked 15th one week and go to 5th based on one good game. I personally think he's someone who should hover between 6th and 8th, but he shouldn't fluctuate 15th to 5th after playing only one game -- should anyone? It just seems like this is the type of premature over/under-valuing a player based on one good week that any good FFer will try to exploit in trade negotiations! I just think that for "rest of season" one game shouldn't move you up 10 spots... can something really happen in just one game that no one saw coming (besides injury) that is so illuminating to move a player -- a QB no less -- 10 spots? Not sure I have a real point here, but it just seems odd. Maybe someone can help illuminate my understanding! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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