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***Official Week 15 NFL Wagering Thread***


kroyrunner89
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Sorry it's up so late guys...

 

Cowboys +9 @ Saints 53

Packers +2.5 @ Steelers 41

Dolphins +4.5 @ Titans 43

Patriots -7 @ Bills 41

Cardinals -13 @ Lions 46.5

Falcons +5.5 @ Jets 36

Bears +11 @ Ravens 39

Browns +2 @ Chiefs 37

Texans -13 @ Rams 43.5

Bengals +7 @ Chargers 43.5

Raiders +14 @ Broncos 37

Bucs +6.5 @ Seahawks 39

Vikings -9 @ Panthers 43

Giants -1.5 @ Redskins 43.5

Edited by kroyrunner89
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* Dallas Cowboys +9

 

Although people have been making a big deal about the Cowboys' usual December Swoon and all the problems they are having, I think the Cowboys have a legitimate shot in this game. The Saints have been very banged up on defense in past weeks, and this week doesn't look to be much better with a number of players questionable and Jabari Greer already ruled out. Teams have been moving the ball no problem against them lately, and although the Cowboys have struggled converting their yardage into points I think that this is the week where they finally start finding the end zone a bit more. I like the Cowboys to attack on the ground in this one, as Felix Jones and Marion Barber shouldn't have much trouble establishing a running game, and I think that the threat of these two should open up the passing game for Romo as well. Dallas should put some solid drives together to at least keep themselves in the game, perhaps with a chance to win it at the end. So, in this spot, I'll take the Cowboys and hope they can keep it within one score.

 

Good luck to everyone tonight!

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* Dallas Cowboys +9

I like the Cowboys to attack on the ground in this one, as Felix Jones and Marion Barber shouldn't have much trouble establishing a running game, and I think that the threat of these two should open up the passing game for Romo as well.

 

Felix Jones away game stats this year.

 

@TB 6 carries 22 yds rushing

@PHI 4 carries 10 yds rushing

@GB 3 carries 6 yds rushing

@NYG 6 carries 6 yds rushing 3 catches 13 yds

 

Marion Barber away game stats this year.

 

@TB 14 carries 79 yds 1 rushing td

@DEN 11 carries 41 yds 1 rushing td

@KC 15 carries 53 yds

@PHI 12 carries 50 yds

@GB 5 carries 26 yds

@NYG 15 carries 36 yds

 

What makes you think the run game will be a success? Based on these stats Wade Phillips/Jason Garrett will give up on the run game and rely on Romo and the passing game to win it...Felix Jones has been practically invisable on the road...

 

However, I do think they can win the game if they actually stick to the run...Marion Barber HAS to put up more then 79 yds rushing or its just not gonna cut it.....I still like the cowboys +9 regardless...they've managed to keep every loss pretty close and I expect them to hang around in this one also....

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* Dallas Cowboys +9

 

Although people have been making a big deal about the Cowboys' usual December Swoon and all the problems they are having, I think the Cowboys have a legitimate shot in this game. The Saints have been very banged up on defense in past weeks, and this week doesn't look to be much better with a number of players questionable and Jabari Greer already ruled out. Teams have been moving the ball no problem against them lately, and although the Cowboys have struggled converting their yardage into points I think that this is the week where they finally start finding the end zone a bit more. I like the Cowboys to attack on the ground in this one, as Felix Jones and Marion Barber shouldn't have much trouble establishing a running game, and I think that the threat of these two should open up the passing game for Romo as well. Dallas should put some solid drives together to at least keep themselves in the game, perhaps with a chance to win it at the end. So, in this spot, I'll take the Cowboys and hope they can keep it within one score.

 

Good luck to everyone tonight!

Took balls to put real money on Dallas tonight. Nice job.

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* Texans -14

* Texans/Rams UNDER 43.5

 

This game is pretty clear cut in my mind. The Houston defense has been playing much better lately, and the Rams offense has been terrible all year. Now that the team has been hit with Swine Flu, and won't have Steven Jackson in the game to aid them (EDIT: When I originally wrote this I had seen reports declaring him out. Now I see GTD, so that's obviously a bit annoying...), their offense is really going to struggle moving the ball. Kyle Boller is questionable to play, however given his lack of practicing this week I'd be surprised to see him out there, leaving the Rams with their 3rd string QB yet again. The Rams' defense will struggle keeping the Texans' offense in check, and the only way I see this total going over is if the Texans push it over with a mammoth point total. Worst case scenario we split these picks and eat a little juice, but I think there's a great chance we win them both with the Texans winning with a score in the neighborhood of 31-10.

 

* Browns +2

* Browns/Chiefs UNDER 37

 

This is a pretty unique game in the sense that both teams are bottom 8 in the league in rushing and passing yards/attempt on both offense and defense! It's pretty abysmal to be so bad in those phases of the game on both sides of the field. However, lately the Browns have shown signs of righting the ship, as they upset the Steelers on Thursday night, and haven't turned the ball over in their last four games. The Chiefs meanwhile, have continued to struggle. In their last four games, their defense has been as bad as ever, and they've turned the ball over 7 times. The only thing they've done well lately is run the ball with Charles, and very quietly the Browns rushing defense has been a top 8 unit in the league over their last five games. I expect neither team to light up the scoreboard, but for the Browns to have more scoring opportunities as they'll take better care of the ball and give Cribbs more opportunities to make plays. Browns should win this game something like 16-10.

 

* Tennessee Titans -5

 

It looks like Vince Young will be playing in this one, which I love considering that the Titans' passing offense is much better under him and the Dolphins have the 8th worst passing defense in the NFL. Like every other team, they'll have to dedicate a lot of energy into figuring out how to contain Chris Johnson, which will hopefully leave the passing game wide open for Young. The Titans are still throwing the ball great, and the speedier backs have been the type that give the Dolphins trouble. As I've said in the past, the Titans' biggest weakness has been their rushing defense. However, lately the Dolphins have abandoned the wildcat formation, and in their last three games they've run for under 4 yards/carry. I think the Titans can have their way on offense in this one, and if the Dolphins find themselves forced into throwing the ball I think we'll see some turnovers as well. Titans should cruise to a win by two scores.

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