one last thing.....even though the spread (to some degree) is based on an uniformed public....over the course of history the favorite has won almost exactly 50% of the time against the spread so by and large the spread is right on........I feel for the most part the spread is basically very close to where it should be based on "how good the teams really are" (to put it simply) and that whether a favorite beats or loses to the spread for the most part comes down to totally unpredicable events such as turnovers, bad calls, injuries, the burger king running onto the field, etc. etc.
believe it or not