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Luck or K. Allen final keeper


cmutts
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12 team league, std scoring, 1 ppr, all tds 6 pts. 3 keepers per team with various limits. I am picking 1.9, 2.4, etc. I am keeping 2 RB's, Monte Ball and Gio for picks 3.9 & 4.4. K. Allen would cost me my 12th pick or Andrew Luck would default to ADP a week before the draft. Allen is great value at 12 but locking up a possible top 10 QB for a 6th-8th rd pick( Estimating ADP ), is great value as well. Thoughts???

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It's a lot closer than you think with all TD's 6 pts, but I think the ADP factor swings it to Allen. You can walk out with Luck + a risk in the 12th, or you can get Kaep/Ryan/RGIII + Allen. This may be the year Luck makes a big move over those others and is worth the delta, and lots of deep WR's this year. Depending on your league, if you think you can find gold in the 12th I wouldn't find it crazy keeping Luck.

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It's a lot closer than you think with all TD's 6 pts, but I think the ADP factor swings it to Allen. You can walk out with Luck + a risk in the 12th, or you can get Kaep/Ryan/RGIII + Allen. This may be the year Luck makes a big move over those others and is worth the delta, and lots of deep WR's this year. Depending on your league, if you think you can find gold in the 12th I wouldn't find it crazy keeping Luck.

 

the 6pt TDs doesn't really change things all that much at all...especially in a 12 team league. I keep Allen and don't even think twice about it and that's with me having Luck as a top-3 QB in dynasty/keeper leagues.

 

Edit: For the OP, you might find it useful to read the link to the Zero QB Theorem in my sig.

Edited by keggerz
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