detlef Posted August 26, 2008 Share Posted August 26, 2008 I'm not so sure I agree with your logic. Many picks made COULD be great or have a 50/50 chance of being great but is that really good odds? There are no guarantees in fantasy but I at least like to roll with players I feel strongly about...right or wrong. I just feel like Roy OR CJ will put up stud numbers and I'm not quite sure who it will be. CJ has the upside and freakish physical tools but Roy is playing for a new contract if I'm not mistaken. I'll let someone else go with that 50/50 choice. Dude, you don't have a choice. You're getting the 50/50 odds whether you want them or not. I posted the success rate of all those guys last year to point that out. None of the guys on that list were "bad" picks. It's just that half of them turned out to be unproductive players. Do you think that anyone is purposely picking players that they don't think will do well? Take the guy who picked Driver 2 spots ahead of AP. His thoughts were likely that AP was going too high considering he was going to be sharing time with a very capable back. Meanwhile, over the last 5 years, Driver had more catches then... Obviously nobody is rolling the dice with CJ if they don't feel strongly about him. My point is that pick 45 or so is simply not a place where everyone else is loading up on sure things so you'd better not take your shot at an upside pick. History reveals that half the guys picked at that spot are going to underwhelm so why not. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
policyvote Posted August 26, 2008 Share Posted August 26, 2008 "CJ" == "Chad Johnson" If you plan to shorten "Calvin Johnson", please use his correct nickname, "Megatron". That is all. Peace policy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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