MustOfBeenDrunk Posted January 8, 2010 Share Posted January 8, 2010 Wow ,,,, I got Green Bay @ + 3 ( bought 1/2 pt. ) Now the line is even. If GB goes favorite before game time I might just buy 1/2 my action back by getting AZ + 1 And hoping I hit the middle ?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kroyrunner89 Posted January 9, 2010 Author Share Posted January 9, 2010 (edited) * Jets/Bengals UNDER 33.5 I wasn't thrilled to see this number move off of 34, I wasn't quite expecting that, but I'm sticking with this play as I don't think it makes a difference. For starters, the Jets head into a road playoff game with a rookie QB at the helm, who has had problems all year turning the ball over. You can be certain that Sanchez will make a mistake or two in this opening round, which should take some points off the board for the Jets. Also, although they didn't show it last week, the Bengals are an elite defense in the NFL. They are currently the 7th best in yards/pass attempt allowed, and 8th best in yards/rush attempt allowed, one of only three teams to be top 8 in each category. This defense rolled over against the Jets last week, and since the Jets had to win to get in, they were forced to tip their hand a bit. You can be sure that the Bengals will have an answer for Smith lining up in the Wildcat formation, and the Jets' rushing game will not put together a game like they did last week. On the Bengals side of the ball, points won't be any easier. Chad Ochocinco will be blanketed by Revis all game, a huge problem for the Bengals as he accounts for 1/3 of their yards through the air, and almost half of Palmers' passing touchdowns. Ochocinco will almost certainly be shut down by Revis as most elite receivers have been this year, causing some major issues in the passing game for the Bengals. The other strength of Cinci's this year has been running the ball, and the rushing attack has not looked good in recent weeks. Even if they do show up, the Jets are 5th best in the league in yards/rush attempt allowed, so I doubt we see a ton of production on the ground out of the Bengals here. This game is set up to be very low scoring, and likely will come down to which QB takes better care of the ball. In the end though, I see this being a 13-10 kind of game. That's it for Saturday, I'm laying off of everything else. Good luck to anyone who places any bets! Edited January 9, 2010 by kroyrunner89 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Do Work Son Posted January 9, 2010 Share Posted January 9, 2010 * Jets/Bengals UNDER 33.5 I wasn't thrilled to see this number move off of 34, I wasn't quite expecting that, but I'm sticking with this play as I don't think it makes a difference. For starters, the Jets head into a road playoff game with a rookie QB at the helm, who has had problems all year turning the ball over. You can be certain that Sanchez will make a mistake or two in this opening round, which should take some points off the board for the Jets. Also, although they didn't show it last week, the Bengals are an elite defense in the NFL. They are currently the 7th best in yards/pass attempt allowed, and 8th best in yards/rush attempt allowed, one of only three teams to be top 8 in each category. This defense rolled over against the Jets last week, and since the Jets had to win to get in, they were forced to tip their hand a bit. You can be sure that the Bengals will have an answer for Smith lining up in the Wildcat formation, and the Jets' rushing game will not put together a game like they did last week. On the Bengals side of the ball, points won't be any easier. Chad Ochocinco will be blanketed by Revis all game, a huge problem for the Bengals as he accounts for 1/3 of their yards through the air, and almost half of Palmers' passing touchdowns. Ochocinco will almost certainly be shut down by Revis as most elite receivers have been this year, causing some major issues in the passing game for the Bengals. The other strength of Cinci's this year has been running the ball, and the rushing attack has not looked good in recent weeks. Even if they do show up, the Jets are 5th best in the league in yards/rush attempt allowed, so I doubt we see a ton of production on the ground out of the Bengals here. This game is set up to be very low scoring, and likely will come down to which QB takes better care of the ball. In the end though, I see this being a 13-10 kind of game. That's it for Saturday, I'm laying off of everything else. Good luck to anyone who places any bets! Im with you 100% on this...I see a defensive battle/offensive struggle all game...should be a tight low scoring game Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wildcat2334 Posted January 9, 2010 Share Posted January 9, 2010 Am on: Cincy -3 Philly + 4 good luck fellas! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kroyrunner89 Posted January 10, 2010 Author Share Posted January 10, 2010 Got the weekend off to a shaky start with the under in the Jets' game losing, I never thought both teams would struggle stopping the run like that. It's only one play though, and we have plenty of time to salvage the weekend! With two wild card games to go, here's what I'm liking tomorrow: * Patriots/Ravens OVER 43 * Ravens +3 If you think back to the middle of the Patriots' season, there were some serious concerns surrounding their secondary. Before their meaningless game against the Texans, the Patriots' defense was looking much better, as they allowed 13.33 ppg over a three game span. However, given the quality of opponents they faced, it certainly is hard to make the case that they've fixed any of their issues. New England faced three teams ranked 21st or worse in yards/pass attempt over this span, so it's hard to read much into the positive results they've had lately. As things stand now, the Patriots have the 22nd worst defense in the NFL in yards/pass attempt allowed, which Flacco and the Ravens will be able to take advantage of. Furthermore, the Ravens currently are 4th in the NFL in yards/rush attempt, mostly due to the explosive playmaking of Ray Rice. The Patriots run defense is nothing special, ranking 18th in the NFL in yards/rush attempt allowed, so the Ravens should be able to keep the chains moving on the ground as well and put up a good number of points. When the Patriots have the ball, they should be able to exploit the weak Baltimore secondary. New England is 7th in the NFL in yards/pass attempt, and the Ravens have allowed a whopping 7.65 yards/pass attempt this year against teams that are top 10 in the NFL in this category (6 games). Although the Patriots have lost Welker for the year, Edelman does a good job of filling his role and should be able to match his production fairly well. Against the Ravens' #1 rushing defense, the Patriots will have to focus their attack through the air, something that will both contribute to the over and hurt them I believe. If forced to become one dimensional, although they will still find ways to put up points, I think the Ravens will be able to dial up the pressure on Brady and force him into some mistakes, as he still does not look to be handling pressure too well this first season off of his injury. Points will be there for the Pats, but I don't think it will be enough points when all is said and done. Ravens should take this contest in a higher scoring game than most would think, 31-24. * Packers/Cardinals UNDER 47.5 This one doesn't require too long of a write up, the reasoning is pretty simple. The Cardinals enter this one allowing 5.61 yards/pass attempt, 5th best among NFL defenses. Although Green Bay tore them up through the air last week, the Cardinals didn't seem too interested in the game, and I doubt they were throwing a very complicated defensive scheme out there. I think Arizona should be able to slow down the Packers' attack through the air, which should effectively limit the number of points the Packers are able to throw on the board. On the Cardinals' side of the ball, they should have trouble generating offense against this solid Green Bay defense. The Packers are 8th best in yards/pass attempt against, and 2nd best in yards/rush attempt against in the NFL, and will frustrate Warner and the Cardinals' offense all game. I think this has the makings of a 24-20 game, which will keep the total under and hopefully seal out a winning day. That's it for this round, best of luck everyone! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rattsass Posted January 10, 2010 Share Posted January 10, 2010 The line on the Cardinals just keeps climbing. The Cards are now 2 point underdogs and looks like the momentum for the Packers could push it to 3 before game time. The betting public apparently thinks Vegas is giving away money on this game, but the impending slaughter is going to be epic. I'm on both dogs today, still waiting to get the best price before taking my points. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MustOfBeenDrunk Posted January 10, 2010 Share Posted January 10, 2010 The line on the Cardinals just keeps climbing. The Cards are now 2 point underdogs and looks like the momentum for the Packers could push it to 3 before game time. The betting public apparently thinks Vegas is giving away money on this game, but the impending slaughter is going to be epic. I'm on both dogs today, still waiting to get the best price before taking my points. 3 pt. at betjamaica.com I'm on both sides ,,, getting 3pt's on both teams Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HowboutthemCowboys Posted January 10, 2010 Share Posted January 10, 2010 Anyone remember seeing anything like this before? One team favored by 3 then it swings to s 3pt fave for the other team? If so, who won? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MustOfBeenDrunk Posted January 10, 2010 Share Posted January 10, 2010 (edited) Anyone remember seeing anything like this before? One team favored by 3 then it swings to s 3pt fave for the other team? If so, who won? Miami Dolphins / 49ers Super Bowl there was a 7pt.s swing going 49ers Way. Don't remember the final score but do remember the 49ers blew them away Edited January 10, 2010 by MustOfBeenDrunk Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big John Posted January 10, 2010 Share Posted January 10, 2010 Miami Dolphins / 49ers Super Bowl there was a 7pt.s swing going Miami's way Don't remember the final score but do remember the 49ers blew them away SB XIX SF 38, MIA 16 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rattsass Posted January 10, 2010 Share Posted January 10, 2010 3 pt. at betjamaica.com I'm on both sides ,,, getting 3pt's on both teams Thats some sweet action right there. Nice work. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MustOfBeenDrunk Posted January 10, 2010 Share Posted January 10, 2010 Thats some sweet action right there. Nice work. Yes I'm loving it,,, 75% GB +3 ( I had to buy 1/2pt. ) 25% AZ +3 Plus a small parley Ravens + 3-1/2 to GB + 2-1/2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ABearWithFurniture Posted January 11, 2010 Share Posted January 11, 2010 Wow, remind me to never take advice from any of you...what a bunch of homers. From the looks of it I'd have to think that many, many of you lost your asses this weekend... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cunning Runt Posted January 11, 2010 Share Posted January 11, 2010 I'm not a bettor, but if I were, I like the dog/visitor in all 4 of these to win outright. Well, I woulda finished .500. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ABearWithFurniture Posted January 11, 2010 Share Posted January 11, 2010 Well, I woulda finished .500. Actually, had you bet you would have changed the 'Fate and Karma Factors' and either the Bengals and/or the Patriots would have won...since you didn't bet though Fate and Karma had nothing to do with it, and instead Destiny and Randomness determined the outcomes... I'm sure a mathematician could explain it better... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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