I've been watching a lot of football while playing my new live real-time play predicting game on my cell phone. It's hard for me to see NE, BAL, and IND not making the playoffs. They've hit a couple of hurdles lately, but their consistency throughout the year has been amazing.
KC is on its way to a late season meltdown, and it is a long time coming, since their o-line can't take this much longer (see - making the Browns defense look good). That means Denver will sneak into the wild card, SD will slide into the AFC West title, and I will take the Jets as the other AFC wild card. These are the strongest, most consistent teams right now in the NFL.
But everything will pretty much be resolved by Week 15 - two more games will make or break these seasons. Week 17 will be what it always is.