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First draft of the year - any surprises?


DMD
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This was from a draft last night and the group is always good (it is for a magazine). I think it is a good measurement of what to expect this year. First round was half WR, half RB. Kelce fell from last year. LaPorta shows up in the third. I took Hurts at the 3.11

1.01    RB    Christian McCaffrey
1.02    WR    CeeDee Lamb
1.03    WR    Tyreek Hill
1.04    RB    Breece Hall
1.05    RB     Bijan Robinson
1.06    WR    Ja'Marr Chase
1.07    WR    Amon-Ra St. Brown
1.08    WR    Justin Jefferson
1.09    RB    Jonathan Taylor
1.10    RB    Jahmyr Gibbs
1.11    RB    Saquon Barkley
1.12    WR     A.J. Brown
2.01    WR    Garrett Wilson
2.02    WR    Puka Nacua
2.03    WR    Drake London
2.04    RB    Kyren Williams
2.05    WR    Chris Olave
2.06    WR    Davante Adams
2.07    RB    Derrick Henry
2.08    WR    Stefon Diggs
2.09    RB    Travis Etienne
2.10    QB    Josh Allen
2.11    RB    Josh Jacobs
2.12    WR    Marvin Harrison Jr.
3.01    WR    Mike Evans
3.02    TE    Sam LaPorta
3.03    RB    Rachaad White
3.04    WR    Michael Pittman
3.05    TE    Travis Kelce
3.06    RB    De'Von Achane
3.07    WR    Brandon Aiyuk
3.08    RB    Isiah Pacheco
3.09    WR    DK Metcalf
3.10    RB    James Cook
3.11    QB    Jalen Hurts
3.12    RB    Kenneth Walker

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Jefferson as WR5 baffles me.  Yes he'll have a rookie QB throwing to him and will be competing for targets with a capable Jordan Addison and solid TJ Hockenson, but that offense is going to still funnel through him and I don't see his stats dipping low enough to warrant taking him as the fifth WR off the board.  I can see CeeDee going ahead of him, but I'd slot JJ at WR2 for the season.  Maybe I'm totally bonkers.  :shrug:  

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Mixon outside of top 15 RB's? 

 

17 WR's   15 RB's  2 QB's  2 TE's  interesting mix. 

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45 minutes ago, T-Scorp said:

Mixon outside of top 15 RB's? 

 

17 WR's   15 RB's  2 QB's  2 TE's  interesting mix. 

Mixon was the 4.05 as the 16th RB taken. The next three were 4.06 Kamara, 4.07 Kupp, and 4.08 Ekeler - how the mighty have fallen.

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3 hours ago, DMD said:

Mixon was the 4.05 as the 16th RB taken. The next three were 4.06 Kamara, 4.07 Kupp, and 4.08 Ekeler - how the mighty have fallen.

I would bet that both Mixon and Kamara are way better than RB16/17 in PPR at the end of the season.  Wow, value.

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Yeah, that's what I thought. RBs are a place to wait. Here are the first 12 rounds for RBs

 

1.04    Hall,Breece
1.05    Robinson,Bijan
1.09    Taylor,Jonathan
1.10    Gibbs,Jahmyr
1.11    Barkley,Saquon
2.04    Williams,Kyren
2.07    Henry,Derrick
2.09    Etienne,Travis
2.11    Jacobs,Josh
3.03    White,Rachaad
3.06    Achane,De'Von
3.08    Pacheco,Isiah
3.10    Cook,James
3.12    Walker III,Kenneth
4.05    Mixon,Joe
4.06    Kamara,Alvin
4.08    Ekeler,Austin
4.11    Jones,Aaron
5.05    Moss,Zack
5.11    Brooks,Jonathon
6.01    Stevenson,Rhamondre
6.10    Conner,James
6.12    White,Zamir
7.01    Spears,Tyjae
7.02    Swift,D'Andre
7.03    Mostert,Raheem
7.06    Montgomery,David
7.07    Pollard,Tony
7.10    Warren,Jaylen
7.11    Harris,Najee
8.01    Edwards,Gus
8.04    Robinson,Brian

8.05    Singletary,Devin

8.06    Chubb,Nick
8.09    Williams,Javonte
10.01    Elliott,Ezekiel
10.06    Ford,Jerome
10.08    Allgeier,Tyler
10.12    Dowdle,Rico
11.06    Brown,Chase
11.08    Charbonnet,Zach
11.10    Corum,Blake
11.11    Dobbins,J.K.
12.03    Benson,Trey
12.11    Gibson,Antonio
 

There are just a lot of question marks for RBs and usually most end up overstated and the veterans retain their roles. You can do way more with RBs from Rounds 6 - 9 then ever before.

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9 hours ago, darin3 said:

Jefferson as WR5 baffles me.  Yes he'll have a rookie QB throwing to him and will be competing for targets with a capable Jordan Addison and solid TJ Hockenson, but that offense is going to still funnel through him and I don't see his stats dipping low enough to warrant taking him as the fifth WR off the board.  I can see CeeDee going ahead of him, but I'd slot JJ at WR2 for the season.  Maybe I'm totally bonkers.  :shrug:  

FYI, from what I've heard they are fine playing Darnold and letting JJ sit for a while. Idk if that's actually what they are going to do, but they are indicating that. 

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14 hours ago, purplemonster said:

FYI, from what I've heard they are fine playing Darnold and letting JJ sit for a while. Idk if that's actually what they are going to do, but they are indicating that. 

Fine with that, production-wise for Jefferson, if that happens.  Either QB will be feeding him the ball.  Only thing that concerns me a tad, though, is the downfield target share.  I think Cousins was better at the deeper ball than either Darnold or McCarthy.

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1 hour ago, darin3 said:

Fine with that, production-wise for Jefferson, if that happens.  Either QB will be feeding him the ball.  Only thing that concerns me a tad, though, is the downfield target share.  I think Cousins was better at the deeper ball than either Darnold or McCarthy.

I am not expecting the defense to be all that impressive either. They could be pretty decent, but regardless, against the teams in our divisions who suddenly have fairly potent offenses likely, they will be playing from behind a fair amount. 

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On 5/15/2024 at 3:35 PM, DMD said:

Mixon was the 4.05 as the 16th RB taken. The next three were 4.06 Kamara, 4.07 Kupp, and 4.08 Ekeler - how the mighty have fallen.

Ekeler at 4.08 ?  Yikes someone still living in the past.

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2 hours ago, purplemonster said:

I am not expecting the defense to be all that impressive either. They could be pretty decent, but regardless, against the teams in our divisions who suddenly have fairly potent offenses likely, they will be playing from behind a fair amount. 

The addition of Dallas Turner was nice but he may take a little while to acclimate to the NFL.  Jonathan Greenard is an adequate 2nd DL but if he's seeing constant double teams he won't be able to pressure the QB much.  Rest of the defense is average at best so yes I agree that they may be playing from behind a bit.  

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  • 3 weeks later...
On 5/15/2024 at 4:36 PM, DMD said:

Yeah, that's what I thought. RBs are a place to wait. Here are the first 12 rounds for RBs

 

1.04    Hall,Breece
1.05    Robinson,Bijan
1.09    Taylor,Jonathan
1.10    Gibbs,Jahmyr
1.11    Barkley,Saquon
2.04    Williams,Kyren
2.07    Henry,Derrick
2.09    Etienne,Travis
2.11    Jacobs,Josh
3.03    White,Rachaad
3.06    Achane,De'Von
3.08    Pacheco,Isiah
3.10    Cook,James
3.12    Walker III,Kenneth
4.05    Mixon,Joe
4.06    Kamara,Alvin
4.08    Ekeler,Austin
4.11    Jones,Aaron
5.05    Moss,Zack
5.11    Brooks,Jonathon
6.01    Stevenson,Rhamondre
6.10    Conner,James
6.12    White,Zamir
7.01    Spears,Tyjae
7.02    Swift,D'Andre
7.03    Mostert,Raheem
7.06    Montgomery,David
7.07    Pollard,Tony
7.10    Warren,Jaylen
7.11    Harris,Najee
8.01    Edwards,Gus
8.04    Robinson,Brian

8.05    Singletary,Devin

8.06    Chubb,Nick
8.09    Williams,Javonte
10.01    Elliott,Ezekiel
10.06    Ford,Jerome
10.08    Allgeier,Tyler
10.12    Dowdle,Rico
11.06    Brown,Chase
11.08    Charbonnet,Zach
11.10    Corum,Blake
11.11    Dobbins,J.K.
12.03    Benson,Trey
12.11    Gibson,Antonio
 

There are just a lot of question marks for RBs and usually most end up overstated and the veterans retain their roles. You can do way more with RBs from Rounds 6 - 9 then ever before.

Don’t forget Run CMC at 1.01

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  • 2 weeks later...
On 5/16/2024 at 5:06 AM, DMD said:

Yeah, that's what I thought. RBs are a place to wait. Here are the first 12 rounds for RBs

 

1.04    Hall,Breece
1.05    Robinson,Bijan
1.09    Taylor,Jonathan
1.10    Gibbs,Jahmyr
1.11    Barkley,Saquon
2.04    Williams,Kyren
2.07    Henry,Derrick
2.09    Etienne,Travis
2.11    Jacobs,Josh
3.03    White,Rachaad
3.06    Achane,De'Von
3.08    Pacheco,Isiah
3.10    Cook,James
3.12    Walker III,Kenneth
4.05    Mixon,Joe
4.06    Kamara,Alvin
4.08    Ekeler,Austin
4.11    Jones,Aaron
5.05    Moss,Zack
5.11    Brooks,Jonathon
6.01    Stevenson,Rhamondre
6.10    Conner,James
6.12    White,Zamir
7.01    Spears,Tyjae
7.02    Swift,D'Andre
7.03    Mostert,Raheem
7.06    Montgomery,David
7.07    Pollard,Tony
7.10    Warren,Jaylen
7.11    Harris,Najee
8.01    Edwards,Gus
8.04    Robinson,Brian

8.05    Singletary,Devin

8.06    Chubb,Nick
8.09    Williams,Javonte
10.01    Elliott,Ezekiel
10.06    Ford,Jerome
10.08    Allgeier,Tyler
10.12    Dowdle,Rico
11.06    Brown,Chase
11.08    Charbonnet,Zach
11.10    Corum,Blake
11.11    Dobbins,J.K.
12.03    Benson,Trey
12.11    Gibson,Antonio
 

There are just a lot of question marks for RBs and usually most end up overstated and the veterans retain their roles. You can do way more with RBs from Rounds 6 - 9 then ever before.

+1

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I got my fantasy index in the mail yesterday I still have every hard copy since 1994 (except the 2011 one they never made since there was a lockout).

As I was looking over the expert draft it dawned on me that this was probably the draft posted here in this thread.  I just verified it and it indeed is.

Now I can match the drafter with the players picked.

Also note the FSGA drafts begin in 8 days starting Monday, June 24th on Sirius XM at 4 PM ET is the Champions league.

All that week from June 24th to 28th will be different leagues drafted some live on XM.

Edited by Henry Muto
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