kroyrunner89 Posted September 29, 2009 Share Posted September 29, 2009 Raiders +9 @ Texans 41.5 Titans -3 @ Jaguars 41 Ravens +1 @ Patriots 44.5 Bengals -5.5 @ Browns 38 Giants -9 @ Chiefs 42 Lions +10 @ Bears 38.5 Bucs +7 @ Redskins 37 Seahawks ??? @ Colts ??? Jets +6 @ Saints 45 Bills -1.5 @ Dolphins 37 Rams +9.5 @ 49ers 37.5 Cowboys -3 @ Broncos 43.5 Chargers +6.5 @ Steelers 43 Packers +3 @ Vikings 45 As usual, good luck to everyone this week! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrTed46 Posted September 29, 2009 Share Posted September 29, 2009 Raiders +9 @ Texans 41.5Titans -3 @ Jaguars 41 Ravens +1 @ Patriots 44.5 Bengals -5.5 @ Browns 38 Giants -9 @ Chiefs 42 Lions +10 @ Bears 38.5 Bucs +7 @ Redskins 37 Seahawks ??? @ Colts ??? Jets +6 @ Saints 45 Bills -1.5 @ Dolphins 37 Rams +9.5 @ 49ers 37.5 Cowboys -3 @ Broncos 43.5 Chargers +6.5 @ Steelers 43 Packers +3 @ Vikings 45 As usual, good luck to everyone this week! I'll take the Titans -3, Bills -1.5, and Vikings -3 Those are my 3 locks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boomer Sooner Posted September 29, 2009 Share Posted September 29, 2009 Raiders +9 @ Texans 41.5Titans -3 @ Jaguars 41 Ravens +1 @ Patriots 44.5 Bengals -5.5 @ Browns 38 Giants -9 @ Chiefs 42 Lions +10 @ Bears 38.5 Bucs +7 @ Redskins 37 Seahawks ??? @ Colts ??? Jets +6 @ Saints 45 Bills -1.5 @ Dolphins 37 Rams +9.5 @ 49ers 37.5 Cowboys -3 @ Broncos 43.5 Chargers +6.5 @ Steelers 43 Packers +3 @ Vikings 45 As usual, good luck to everyone this week! Chargers plus 6.5 screams out at me. Pitt struggles to score points and SD can put points on anyone. Even if Pitt wins, which I have doubts about that, 6.5 is way too many points IMO. I also see Cincy covering the 5.5 rather easily on the road at Cleveland And Im taking Dallas to win by a touchdown. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SheHateMe Posted September 29, 2009 Share Posted September 29, 2009 lions +10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MustOfBeenDrunk Posted September 29, 2009 Share Posted September 29, 2009 6-2 posted plays for the season One that just screams out at me is Bengals -5 I see above it is posted as -5.5 but I was able to get it at -5 I think I would take this all the way up to 7 or maybe even more ? I can see 31 - 10 as a final score Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whomper Posted October 2, 2009 Share Posted October 2, 2009 3 weeks have gone by and I havent placed a single bet. I enjoy these threads because gambling is in my blood but I cant control it so thankfully I am on the sidelines. Just curious though. How is my boy Dre doing this year ? I have passed his site on to many friends. The guy has given away tons of free winners on this board and is a class act. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CowboysDiehard Posted October 2, 2009 Share Posted October 2, 2009 SD +6.5 looks good to me as well. I put three units down on it, but I had to buy that half point (it had since moved to 6) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gopher Posted October 3, 2009 Share Posted October 3, 2009 (edited) This has the feel of a week when all hell breaks loose... In other words, just when you think you have a few teams figured out completely, they go and do the exact opposite of what you expect. I don't have any solid reasoning to feel this way... more of just a gut feeling. It seems like it happens every year, right about this time... there is always one week where a few games go exactly the opposite of how most people think they will. I guess it's a sign that we can't expect to entirely figure out the NFL through just a few weeks of play. Here are my thoughts on this week's early games (lines in bold are current from Sportsbook): Giants -9 @ Chiefs 42 - The NY Giants have really had an easy time of it, so far this season. Last week, a lot of people wondered if they would have a letdown after the big Dallas road win. Facing a much lesser opponent in Tampa Bay, on the road, the game had the feel of one where the Giants MIGHT struggle to maintain their winning ways. Well, that was certainly not the case, as they took care of business in Tampa Bay with ease. Actually, if you look back at their three games so far, the TB win was probably the most impressive, in terms of their overall play... they weren't exactly overwhelming in week 1, when they beat Washington by six, and Dallas really did outplay them in week 2, only to give the game away, thanks to Romo's turnovers. All of that said, I like the Giants to cover this week, giving the nine points. I wouldn't be surprised, though, if this is the week they have a slight letdown, allowing the Chiefs to at least keep it close for three quarters or so. Raiders +8.5 @ Texans 42.5 - One thing is for sure... neither of these teams can stop the run. This feels like another game that could surprise, though. Should the Texans really be favored by nine points against anybody in this league, whether they're at home or not? I don't think so. On the other hand, I really don't know if I can see the Raiders winning this game outright, either. I do think both teams should be able to score some points in this game. Titans -3 @ Jaguars 41.5 - The only thing I know about this game is that Tennessee really needs to win it if they expect to have any chance at the post-season... going 0-4 would be devestating. Another game where neither defense has been overly impressive... I like Tennessee to win a 24-17 type of game here. Bengals -6 @ Browns 37.5 - Another game that feels a little bit too comfortable for me. I think everyone has "figured out" the Browns, and they (the Browns) are starting to be called the worst team in the league by many. Well, it wasn't that long ago that we were witnessing a shootout between Cleveland and Cincinnati of epic proportions... combining for 100+ points. Both teams have obviously changed significantly in the past couple of years, but Derek Anderson is back at the helm for Cleveland, and I wouldn't be surprised to see the Browns play their divisional rival tough this weekend at home. That said, I'm going against my gut here, and taking the Bengals to win and cover. -6[/color] Ravens +1.5 @ Patriots 45 - Neither team has been ultra-impressive through the first three weeks. While the SD road win was nice, Baltimore basically beat up on bad teams at home in their other two contests. Meanwhile, the Pats are a McKelvin fumble away from being 1-2. I think this should be a great game to watch on Sunday, and will definitely help us figure out how "for real" these two teams are, particularly New England. I don't have a strong feeling on it, one way or the other... If I had to pick, I would probably take Baltimore, only because they're the ones getting points. Lions +10 @ Bears 40 - I've been impressed by Detroit so far this season, and it wouldn't surprise me to see them keep it close. On the other hand, this could be the game where Stafford struggles... playing at Chicago isn't going to be easy. I'm staying away. Bucs +7.5 @ Redskins 37 - Tempted to take the Skins against the unproven QB, but Washington has been so disappointing so far this year, I just can't do it. Not a game I will be watching Sunday, that's for sure. Seahawks +10 @ Colts 44 - I like the Colts, obviously, but 10 is too many points for me. Staying away from this as well. My plays for the week, so far: Giants(NewYork) -9 Bills(Buffalo) -1.5 This is now a "pick'em" game, so the money has come in for Miami at home. I still like the Bills, due to the Fin's QB situation. Bengals(Cincinnati) -6 6 Point Teaser Redskins(Washington) -1.5 Ravens(Baltimore) +7.5 SEA/IND Under 50 6.5 Point Teaser Titans(Tennessee) +3.5 TEN/JAC Over 35 6 Point Teaser Texans(Houston) -2.5 OAK/HOU Over 36.5 I do have one teaser on the late games as well: 6 Point Teaser Steelers(Pittsburgh) -0.5 ...Just can't see Pittsburgh going to 1-3. Saints(NewOrleans) -1 ...The Jets nice start to the season ends this week, with their secondary being banged up. 49ers(SanFrancisco) -3.5 ... Singletary will have the Niners ready to play this week, after last week's disappointment. Edited October 3, 2009 by Gopher Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HowboutthemCowboys Posted October 3, 2009 Share Posted October 3, 2009 . How is my boy Dre doing this year ? I have passed his site on to many friends. The guy has given away tons of free winners on this board and is a class act. +1. http://sharpfootballanalysis.com/ looks like 7-6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rattsass Posted October 4, 2009 Share Posted October 4, 2009 1-2 posted picks Going with Bengals -6 this week. I have them on the back end of a 2 teamer - hit the first leg with Washington vs. ND yesterday. Come on Bengals, don't make me look like an idiot. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MustOfBeenDrunk Posted October 4, 2009 Share Posted October 4, 2009 1-2 posted picks Going with Bengals -6 this week. I have them on the back end of a 2 teamer - hit the first leg with Washington vs. ND yesterday. Come on Bengals, don't make me look like an idiot. See my post ,, 6 is a gimme or I'm the one looking stupid Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kroyrunner89 Posted October 4, 2009 Author Share Posted October 4, 2009 I know some of you will be disappointed that this isn't another week with 6 or 7 plays, but I really think that this is a tight set of lines this week and good value is hard to find. There will be weeks like this, but not nearly as many as weeks where I see a lot more out there that I like. Once my system is up and running, we'll have plenty to choose from. Here's what I'm liking this week: * 49ers/Rams UNDER 37 This play caught my eye from the beginning of the week and never left my radar. The Rams actually showed some life last weekend on offense with Boller at the helm, but it was against a suspect Packers defense that is middle of the pack in both passing and rushing yards per attempt. The 49ers defense this week should return the Rams to the familiar single digit scoring that they saw their first two games of the year. Steven Jackson is the focal point of this Rams' offense, and with the 49ers allowing only 3 ypc this season and containing AP fairly well last week, it isn't looking like Jackson will find much room to run come Sunday. If forced into turning to the pass, the Rams already find themselves in trouble as they are the third worst team in the league in yards per pass attempt. The 49ers are 9th in the league against the pass, so again, Boller shouldn't have a very easy time keeping the chains moving. I'm optimistic the 49ers won't push this total over given the loss of Gore from their offense. Although Coffee certainly is a capable backup, he doesn't bring the same explosiveness to the offense as Gore does. It's tough to say what Gore would have done had he played all of last week against the Vikings, but I feel fairly confident he could have managed better than the 2 ypc Coffee ran for. St. Louis has a pretty bad defense, but the conservative nature of the 49ers probably ensures that we won't see a lot of quick scores. I see the Rams scoring anywhere from 3-14 points, while I see the 49ers range being in the area of 14-21. This total should stay under, and hopefully does so easily so we won't be sweating it out in the final quarter. * Denver Broncos +3 I've been hearing a lot of love for the Cowboys this week, but the Broncos were another team that immediately found themselves on my radar this week. Although the Broncos have benefited from playing the Browns and Raiders, and won on a lucky tip play at Cinci, they've still done their job and looked good doing it. Dallas comes into this game also having played a soft Panthers team and soft Bucs team, also doing their job against those two weak opponents. They also played the Giants tough at home, but came out losers in that one due to a rough outing by Romo. Here is what's so interesting about this Dallas team. Dallas finds themselves in a unique situation where they're top 8 in the league in both yards per pass attempt and yards per rush attempt, and bottom 8 in both of those categories on defense. Considering the poor TB and Carolina offenses, I find this very alarming as they try to shut down the Denver attack. You can bet Denver will be able to put together a lot of long drives marching the ball down the field, keeping the ball out of Romo's hands. Meanwhile, even when the Cowboys do get the ball, their high flying offense will be tested by the #1 pass defense in the league and the #7 rush defense. The bottom line is that Denver has been doing their job on offense and should continue to do so against this terrible Cowboys' defense. The Cowboys however, will find themselves facing a test and may struggle more to get points on the board. I think Denver wins this game fairly easily, taking it by a touchdown. That's it, sorry there isn't more guys! Have a good Week 4! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gopher Posted October 4, 2009 Share Posted October 4, 2009 I'm a sucker for these things... adding another teaser: DEN +9 DAL/DEN Under 49 NYJ/NOS Over 40.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MustOfBeenDrunk Posted October 4, 2009 Share Posted October 4, 2009 Adding Chargers + 6.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
THE SIX KINGS Posted October 5, 2009 Share Posted October 5, 2009 I know some of you will be disappointed that this isn't another week with 6 or 7 plays, but I really think that this is a tight set of lines this week and good value is hard to find. There will be weeks like this, but not nearly as many as weeks where I see a lot more out there that I like. Once my system is up and running, we'll have plenty to choose from. Here's what I'm liking this week: * 49ers/Rams UNDER 37 This play caught my eye from the beginning of the week and never left my radar. The Rams actually showed some life last weekend on offense with Boller at the helm, but it was against a suspect Packers defense that is middle of the pack in both passing and rushing yards per attempt. The 49ers defense this week should return the Rams to the familiar single digit scoring that they saw their first two games of the year. Steven Jackson is the focal point of this Rams' offense, and with the 49ers allowing only 3 ypc this season and containing AP fairly well last week, it isn't looking like Jackson will find much room to run come Sunday. If forced into turning to the pass, the Rams already find themselves in trouble as they are the third worst team in the league in yards per pass attempt. The 49ers are 9th in the league against the pass, so again, Boller shouldn't have a very easy time keeping the chains moving. I'm optimistic the 49ers won't push this total over given the loss of Gore from their offense. Although Coffee certainly is a capable backup, he doesn't bring the same explosiveness to the offense as Gore does. It's tough to say what Gore would have done had he played all of last week against the Vikings, but I feel fairly confident he could have managed better than the 2 ypc Coffee ran for. St. Louis has a pretty bad defense, but the conservative nature of the 49ers probably ensures that we won't see a lot of quick scores. I see the Rams scoring anywhere from 3-14 points, while I see the 49ers range being in the area of 14-21. This total should stay under, and hopefully does so easily so we won't be sweating it out in the final quarter. * Denver Broncos +3 I've been hearing a lot of love for the Cowboys this week, but the Broncos were another team that immediately found themselves on my radar this week. Although the Broncos have benefited from playing the Browns and Raiders, and won on a lucky tip play at Cinci, they've still done their job and looked good doing it. Dallas comes into this game also having played a soft Panthers team and soft Bucs team, also doing their job against those two weak opponents. They also played the Giants tough at home, but came out losers in that one due to a rough outing by Romo. Here is what's so interesting about this Dallas team. Dallas finds themselves in a unique situation where they're top 8 in the league in both yards per pass attempt and yards per rush attempt, and bottom 8 in both of those categories on defense. Considering the poor TB and Carolina offenses, I find this very alarming as they try to shut down the Denver attack. You can bet Denver will be able to put together a lot of long drives marching the ball down the field, keeping the ball out of Romo's hands. Meanwhile, even when the Cowboys do get the ball, their high flying offense will be tested by the #1 pass defense in the league and the #7 rush defense. The bottom line is that Denver has been doing their job on offense and should continue to do so against this terrible Cowboys' defense. The Cowboys however, will find themselves facing a test and may struggle more to get points on the board. I think Denver wins this game fairly easily, taking it by a touchdown. That's it, sorry there isn't more guys! Have a good Week 4! You are on FIRE!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CowboysDiehard Posted October 5, 2009 Share Posted October 5, 2009 Yeah he is! I passed on both of those, and I lost on the Chargers +6.5. But I did make a late play on the over on that game & won it handily. My other two were the Giants and Colts laying 9.5 on both. I also parlayed those two teams & won that bet to go 5-1 overall on the weekend with one CFB win thrown in (Ark over A&M). I think the winds are blowing at the bettor's backs right now...and I really appreciate Koy's approach. I'm not nearly as level-headed about all this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kroyrunner89 Posted October 5, 2009 Author Share Posted October 5, 2009 Thanks guys, it's always rewarding to see the results when you put the time in! Diehard, nice weekend for you as well man, congrats. Keep a level head though, the trick is to not lose it all back once you've won! It actually took me a couple years to stop throwing winnings out the window, it's very easy to get caught up in! See you guys next week, good luck with any wagers you might make tonight Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunday Couch Potatoe Posted October 5, 2009 Share Posted October 5, 2009 Lol looked like a bunch of bad calls and money lost to me! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rattsass Posted October 5, 2009 Share Posted October 5, 2009 Lol looked like a bunch of bad calls and money lost to me! And the hindsight guru pounds his chest in victory! It seems to me that everybody must be playing Minnesota tonight. The spread has moved 2.5 points up to 5.5. Wow, that is a big line movement. Either the books are going to be dishing out $$ or a whole bunch of people are going to donate a lot of $$ tonight. 5.5 points is quite abit for a divisional game. I wish I had thought about that before I laid 6 pts with the Bengals yesterday. If the spread pushes any higher I will almost feel obligated to play GB. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Do Work Son Posted October 6, 2009 Share Posted October 6, 2009 Packers + 5 1/2 Over 47 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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