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Teams needs after Free Agency, before draft


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NFL Draft Grapevine: Free Agency Affecting Team NeedsPrint this article | Email this article

 

March 11, 2005

 

By Cory J. Bonini

Edited by Ryan R. Bonini

 

 

In this week's edition of KFFL's NFL Draft Grapevine we will take a look at what the last week of free agency has done to the draft plans of teams around the league. Free agency continues to mold the direction teams will be forced to take when the NFL Draft arrives, forcing teams to fill voids created by free agency or bypass what were originally needs before a free-agent acquisition cured their void.

 

AROUND THE LEAGUEWithout further adieu, let's just right in and take a look at what to expect. The teams have been broken down into two categories based on their respective free agency activity. *Note: Not all teams will be covered, as some clubs have not recently made any moves that significantly affect their draft plans.

 

The Busy Teams...Dallas Cowboys

 

With the recent free agency binge by the Cowboys, it leaves one with some questions as to which direction the team would look in the draft. Remember, Dallas is the owner of two first-round selections in this year's draft (No. 11 and No. 20 - acquired from the Buffalo Bills during the 2004 NFL Draft).

 

The team has inked DT Jason Ferguson (Jets), CB Anthony Henry (Browns) and OG Marco Rivera (Packers) to help shore up specific needs. Now the team has a legitimate cornerback opposite of CB Terence Newman in Henry, alleviating the immediate desire to address the position during the early rounds of the draft. Ferguson fills their need as a capable run-stuffer in the middle, the type of player head coach Bill Parcells covets and the type of lineman needed to run a 3-4 defensive alignment. Rivera shores up the offensive line considerably, as he was a stalwart along the Green Bay Packers' offensive line for some time. He recently underwent surgery on his back to repair a herniated disc; he is expected to fully recover in time for training camp in July.

 

Now, how do these moves affect the Cowboys' plans for the draft? First off, the primary need for the team is a speedy pass rusher, either in the form of a defensive end or an outside linebacker. The Cowboys are switching to a 3-4 defense and released veteran LB Dexter Coakley, the team's fifth all-time leader in tackles, because he doesn't fit the new alignment. With their first selection, No. 11 overall, Dallas can now focus on either Maryland LB Shawne Merriman or Texas LB Derrick Johnson. While Johnson is widely viewed as the better overall prospect, Merriman is a more polished and accomplished pass rusher.

 

Looking at the No. 20 overall selection the Cowboys lay claim to, the defensive theme figures to continue. Look for the team go with a defensive end that also can get to the quarterback. "Why would the team go with the same type of player in the same round?" you may be asking yourself. Dallas finished 25th in the league in the sack column, finishing the year with only 33 sacks during the 2004 season. So, who does the team turn their attention to at No. 20? We have a strong inclination Dallas will select Oklahoma DE Dan Cody, mainly due to his ability to play both as a traditional defensive end and as a stand up rush-end.

 

Washington Redskins

 

The Redskins recently signed unrestricted free agent WR David Patten (Patriots) and made a rather large trade to send WR Laveranues Coles back to the New York Jets in exchange for WR Santana Moss. While this may seem like a silly deal to pull off on paper, Moss fits the role better than Coles did for the Redskins. He is faster and a hair smaller - the prototypical receiver coveted by head coach Joe Gibbs.

 

The ‘Skins are expected to work out a deal in the weeks leading up to the draft - or even draft day itself - that would send WR Rod Gardner packing his bags for a new NFL city. This would leave the team rather thin at the wide receiver position, leading most to believe the team will look to draft one with their ninth overall pick. However, the team may have more pressing concerns.

 

Starting LB LaVar Arrington (knee) never fully recovered from a knee injury that cost him all but four games of the 2004 season. The team lost LB Antonio Pierce to the New York Giants via free agency and may be looking to add depth, as well as insurance incase Arrington suffers any setbacks. Herein is where the problem lies... There is not a single linebacker in this year's draft class that is clear-cut worthy of a No. 9 overall selection. After a disappointing year for Gibbs in his comeback efforts, one really has to wonder if the team wants to be set up for the disaster that could come with drafting a player too high.

 

So, after you digest all of that, where does it leave us? The Redskins lost arguably their most talented defensive back in CB Fred Smoot (Vikings) and will look to replace him. They have very little depth at the position and the names of West Virginia's Adam Jones and Miami's Antrel Rolle have surfaced at the cornerback position. While both are legitimate options, "Pac-Man" Jones may fit the defensive scheme a little better. Plus, some scouts have brought up the notion that Rolle may not be an NFL cornerback, as his frame (6-1, 205 pounds) is better suited for that of the safety position. The Redskins are set at safety and may opt for Jones instead.

 

Chicago Bears

 

Landing unrestricted free agent WR Muhsin Muhammad after he was released by the Carolina Panthers, the Bears have reportedly turned their attention to the running back position with the No. 4 overall pick they hold. Even though the team appears confident in RB Thomas Jones, the talents of one of the top-three running backs available (Auburn's Ronnie Brown, Carnell Williams and Texas' Cedric Benson) may be way too tempting to let pass by.

 

Chicago could still use a playmaker at wide receiver in addition to Muhammad, such as Michigan WR Braylon Edwards. In fact, Bears' college scouting director Greg Gabriel will attend his workout. While there has been some speculation the team is hesitant to select another wide receiver in the first round from the University of Michigan after the WR David Terrell experiment, we believe that is simply not applicable with the talents exhibited by Edwards.

 

Another name that has been recently linked to the Bears' draft plans is that of Florida State OLT Alex Barron. We do not think this is the case, as OT John Tait has moved back to his natural left tackle position, making room for recently acquired ORT Fred Miller (Titans). In today's NFL it is all about winning and winning now, leaving some questions as to why the team would avoid drafting a potential playmaker at a skill position that could start from the get-go. Finally, the name of Miami Hurricanes CB Antrel Rolle has surfaced, though we still feel the team will address either the running back or wide receiver position during the first round simply because they showed last year their offense needs a ton of work.

 

Detroit Lions

 

The Lions have been one of the louder franchises so far during this young offseason, landing such veteran players as SS Kenoy Kennedy (Broncos) and TE Marcus Pollard (Colts). These two signing immediately upgrade their respective positions for the Lions, allowing the team to focus elsewhere during the draft.

 

OT Stockar McDougle is an unrestricted free agent and may not return to the team. Even if he does, the team has enough depth that it is believed they will not make the position a top need in this year's NFL draft. One key need for the Lions is a pass-rushing defensive end. Detroit was in the middle of the pack in 2004, recording 38 sacks on the year. Wisconsin DE Erasmus James could prove to be a interesting option for the team at the 10th overall pick, which would likely turn current starting DE James Hall into a rotational player.

 

Another interesting prospect for the Lions is Miami (Fla.) CB Antrel Rolle. If the team selects Rolle, look for him to start off in the nickel role for Detroit until he gets his feet wet or a starting cornerback gets injured... something that appears to be a likely scenario, given the Lions' track record with injured defensive backs. If they do draft Rolle, look for him to become the starter by mid-season at left cornerback position. This move would come at the expense of CB Fernando Bryant. Finally, the name of LB Odell Thurman of Georgia has surfaced, though the team may shy away from the position early on with the expected healthy return of LB Boss Bailey (knee).

 

Green Bay Packers

 

The Packers have lost both starting offensive guards Marco Rivera (Cowboys) and Mike Wahle (Panthers) to free agency, leaving the team in the market for an offensive lineman. However, the team's defense was so atrocious in 2004 they are more than likely going to address this side of the ball before the offense. Look for the team to take a defensive back or a defensive end that can rush the passer. With the recent release of S Darren Sharper, the safety position has quickly become a need area for the squad.

 

The Packers will undoubtedly address the offensive line during the draft; it is just a matter of when and with what player(s)? If they wait until the second or third round, someone like Wisconsin OG Dan Buenning could be a viable option to step in as an immediate starter and contribute positively. The team is likely to make OT Kevin Barry the starting right tackle, thus moving current ORT Mark Tauscher to right guard.

 

At the end of the day, the Packers' front office is going to sleep a little better knowing Hall of Fame bound QB Brett Favre is going to return for at least one more season. This means the team's need for a quarterback isn't as immediate, allowing them to continue to see what they have in untested prospects on roster like QB Craig Nall and QB J.T. O'Sullivan. Also, this means the Packers can hold off until later rounds and take a flier on a quarterback that fits their offensive game plan for the dreaded day that Favre does hang up his cleats.

 

Since the Packers do not have much money to spend in free agency and we're being kind by saying "not much", the draft is the route they will take to shore up their patchwork defense.

 

Minnesota Vikings

 

The Vikings lost WR Randy Moss to the Oakland Raiders via trade, leaving a proverbial pair of the biggest shoes in the league to fill. Though no one player available at the No. 7 overall spot is viewed as the equal to be what Moss meant to the Vikings' passing game, USC WR Mike Williams could fit in rather nicely. He has greater size than Moss and could be a red zone threat for QB Daunte Culpepper.

 

Reportedly, the Vikings are more than comfortable with WR Nate Burleson as a No. 1 wideout, especially since they were able to reach an agreement to re-sign TE Jermaine Wiggins. Our sources state the Vikings would like to add a wide receiver with their No. 18 pick, leaving WRs Troy Williamson of South Carolina and Mark Clayton (Oklahoma) as options. Also, the team could hold off and add a player with great upside potential, such as Northern Colorado WR Vincent Jackson. While much at this stage of the game surrounding the draft is based on hypothesis with a dash of speculation, the Vikings will undoubtedly draft a receiver the first day of the 2005 draft.

 

Carolina Panthers

 

The Panthers lost WR Muhsin Muhammad after the two sides could not work out a restructuring of his contract. Muhammad regained his Pro Bowl form in 2004 when the team lost WR Steve Smith (ankle) for the season and essentially their entire fleet of tailbacks in the following weeks. The Panthers shifted rather nicely from a run-laden offensive approach to a vertical team nearly as dangerous as any in the league. The run-heavy game plan is likely to return in '05.

 

The team shored up their offensive guard position with the recent signing of free agent OG Mike Wahle (Packers), keeping the team from allocating an early pick on the position. While Wahle provides improvement, the Panthers' offensive line could still use another boost... the need is just no longer as important as it was previous to the Wahle addition. The cornerback position has also been shored up with the signing of free agent CB Ken Lucas (Seahawks) to a multi-year deal.

 

Despite the loss of Muhammad, don't look for the team to address the wide receiver position early in the draft. In 2004, then rookie WR Keary Colbert stepped up nicely, leaving the team with the notion he is a viable option as their No. 2 receiver to tandem with a healthy Smith.

 

If Virginia TE Heath Miller slides to the Panthers' No. 14 overall pick, they will definitely give him some consideration. If Miller does go before Carolina picks in the opening round, look for the team to select the best remaining linebacker.

 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 

The Buccaneers are in a precarious situation holding the No. 5 overall selection in the 2005 NFL Draft. Do they fill that gaping hole at running back they so desperately need? Do they add a playmaker at wide receiver to compliment WR Michael Clayton, a 2004 rookie surprise himself? Does Tampa Bay address their offensive line or their secondary? Yes, we have nearly as many questions surrounding the Buccaneers draft plans as you do at this point.

 

While no one likes to be completely in the dark, Tampa Bay has so many holes there are few options but to be a bit unenlightened as to what they will do. KFFL sources close to the team are pointing to the wide receiver position as a very strong possibility; that is, only if Auburn RB Ronnie Brown is off the board by the time Tampa Bay is up to bat.

 

The team currently has RBs Michael Pittman and Charlie Garner at tailback, though neither player figures to be the answer to the Bucs' running back woes. Pittman, while quite serviceable, doesn't give the team what they are looking for. Garner, while a favorite of head coach Jon Gruden, is coming off of back-to-back shortened seasons (knee injuries) and isn't likely to be able to carry the load for a full season. FB Mike Alstott is nearing the end of his career and is no longer an option at tailback for any serious amount of carries.

 

If they do select a receiver, we feel USC WR Mike Williams will be their guy. Michigan's Braylon Edwards has been rumored to be a Gruden favorite, though we don't feel he is likely to be available at the No. 5 spot.

 

Of course, much can and will change in the weeks leading up to the draft, so this situation could change quickly. The team has recently been linked to Indianapolis Colts RB Edgerrin James, which would definitely change their need for a running back.

 

St. Louis Rams

 

The Rams pulled the lever, hitting "triple cherries" in linebacker slot machine, adding veteran LBs Dexter Coakley (Cowboys) and Chris Claiborne (Vikings) during this young offseason. The team, just prior to both acquisitions, moved LB Pisa Tinoisamoa to strong safety, while switching SS Adam Archuleta (back) to free safety. Archuleta is suffering from a disc problem in his back, and he admitted the injury has the potential to be career threatening. However, he is expected to be in the starting lineup for the onset of the 2005 season.

 

The biggest need for the Rams during the draft is that of an offensive lineman, particularly a right tackle. The team will focus on finding a replacement for RT Kyle Turley, who is also dealing with a severe, career threatening back injury. Further, Turley was centered in a well-publicized, and near physical, confrontation with head coach Mike Martz during the regular season. Turley is not expected to return to the team.

 

Of the draft prospects that have been linked to the Rams, OT Jamaal Brown (Oklahoma) and OT Khalif Barnes (Washington) are the major names at tackle, with the name of Nebraska OL Richie Incognito surfacing to a lesser extent. If the Rams opt to draft on the defensive side of the ball with their first-round pick, look for Georgia DE Dan Pollack and Wisconsin DE Erasmus James as possible options. The Rams are not expected to re-sign unrestricted free agent DE Bryce Fisher, leaving the door open for a rookie to battle with DEs Tyoka Jackson and Anthony Hargrove for a starting spot.

 

Less Active Teams...New York Jets

 

The Jets have lost DT/NT Jason Ferguson to the Dallas Cowboys since free agency has opened, leaving the team with a hole to fill along their line. This isn't likely to happen in the draft, as the Jets promptly signed free agent DL Lance Legree (Giants) to replace Ferguson. While Legree isn't quite of Ferguson's talent range, he is still a serviceable replacement.

 

The team re-acquired WR Laveranues Coles and sent WR Santana Moss to the Washington Redskins to make the deal happen. The team is not expected to address the wide receiver position during the draft's higher rounds.

 

The team could look to draft NT Luis Castillo of Northwestern, the draft class' best nose tackle. The Jets could also look at USC DT Shaun Cody as well. Castillo would be a bit of a stretch in the first round, though Cody could prove to be a nice steal when all is said and done.

 

Kansas City Chiefs

 

The Chiefs have signed unrestricted free agent SS Sammy Knight (Dolphins), helping add veteran leadership as well as skill to their secondary. The Chiefs are still reportedly discussing a trade with the Miami Dolphins that would send CB Patrick Surtain to the Chiefs, giving them one half of the Miami starting secondary from 2004. This is a trade worth keeping an eye on in the coming weeks, as Surtain is a shutdown cornerback and will undoubtedly improve the Chiefs pass defense. The team has also been linked to free agent CB Ty Law (Patriots).

 

Kansas City was not able to land free agent LB Jeremiah Trotter (Eagles) when he was in town for a visit. Trotter later opted to return to the Eagles and is no longer on the market, but the team did add free agent LB Kendrell Bell (Steelers). If healthy, and that is a big if at this time, Bell can make a huge difference. The defensive end, tackle, linebacker and most of the secondary positions are all draft needs that have to be addressed.

 

Buffalo Bills

 

The Bills have lost DT Pat Williams via free agency to the Minnesota Vikings since our last meetings. Look for the team to use a rotation of players from with in (DTs Justin Bannan and Lauvale Sape) since the team doesn't have a first-round pick.

 

Buffalo could easily take a defensive tackle during the second round, though the drop-off of quality is very significant from what they would be looking at if they had a first-round pick. At any rate, defensive tackle and offensive line (they also lost OT Jonas Jennings to the San Francisco 49ers via free agency) are the two top priorities for the Bills in this year's draft.

 

Seattle Seahawks

 

The Seahawks spent their offseason dollars to keep their offense intact, while losing starting DE Chike Okeafor (Cardinals) and CB Ken Lucas (Panthers) to free agency. Okeafor, who they tried to re-sign, was their leading sacker (nine) and Lucas led the team in interceptions (six). Now they will need to focus on a pass rusher, as the cornerback position is not in that bad of shape if CB Bobby Taylor is not purged and is able to rebound from knee injuries.

 

A few names that have recently surfaced surrounding the Seahawks' draft are that of Oklahoma DE Dan Cody and Georgia DE Dan Pollack. If both defensive ends are gone, KFFL sources indicate the team would then look to Auburn CB Carlos Rogers to work into the mix as a nickel back.

 

Pittsburgh Steelers

 

Despite signing unrestricted free agent WR Cedrick Wilson (49ers) recently, he isn't the answer for the team's long-term position needs. Even though Wilson is relatively young at 26, the team will look to draft one of the promising young receiving prospects available at their No. 30 overall selection.

 

The release of CB Chad Scott wasn't vital, though it did remove veteran depth on the team. Pittsburgh re-signed CB Willie Williams and has also visited with free agent CB Ty Law (Patriots); his addition would improve the secondary and alter the team's draft plans at the same time.

 

Look for UAB WR Roddy White to be a possibility for the Steelers here, as he provides some of the size (6-3, 205 pounds) the team had with WR Plaxico Burress (unrestricted free agent). The team may also look toward the cornerback position for added depth, as well as a player to groom for the future.

 

New Orleans Saints

 

The Saints franchise tagged DE Darren Howard, though they are looking to find a possible suitor to work out a trade. If this does happen, and DE Erasmus James (Wisconsin) is still on the board when the Saints pick at No. 16 overall, he is more than likely their guy. However, if James is gone - which is an all too likely scenario - look for the team to consider Auburn CB Carlos Rodgers to pair with CB Mike McKenzie. Or, another avenue is selecting Oklahoma's OT Jamaal Brown, who many NFL scouts feel could make a solid transition to offensive guard at the pro level.

 

If the Saints do not draft a defensive end in the first round, look for them to select an undersized speed rusher like Notre Dame's DE Justin Tuck or Iowa's DE Matt Roth.

 

Indianapolis Colts

 

With a trade of RB Edgerrin James apparently right around the corner, look for the Colts to shift their draft focus from the defense to a tailback in the first round. Of course, someone of James' caliber is tough to replace, though the team showed little trouble was involved when they replaced RB Marshall Faulk in the late 90s with James. The Colts would need to acquire a high draft pick this year and move up substantially from their No. 29 pick to select a premier tailback.

 

If the James trade never materializes, look for the Colts to continue to build their defense. Help at linebacker and in the secondary remains key places of concern for Indianapolis.

 

Denver Broncos

 

The only real news concerning the draft from the Broncos free agency moves is the re-signing of TE Jeb Putzier. While it doesn't sound like much, and it arguably isn't much, Putzier is familiar with the offense and the team in general. The New York Jets signed the restricted free agent to an offer sheet; Denver matched the offer days later. How does this affect their draft plans? Well, Denver is no longer expected to push for either Virginia TE Heath Miller or Stanford TE Alex Smith. They can now turn their attention to improving their defensive line and secondary as expected.

 

Oakland Raiders

 

The Raiders' biggest news was the trade that acquired WR Randy Moss from the Minnesota Vikings. The team gave up their seventh overall pick in that deal, leaving Oakland without a first rounder. Team owner Al Davis is known for being an anti-draft owner, preferring to stock his cupboards with proven veterans. Now that Moss has restructured his deal, look for the Raiders to continue to be aggressive on the open market.

 

The addition of RB LaMont Jordan, formerly of the New York Jets, fills the big void the team had at tailback. Oakland believes he can be the every-down back head coach Norv Turner has desperately needed since he arrived. His additional also lessens the need for the Raiders to invest a first-day selection on the running back position.

 

San Diego Chargers

 

The Chargers have extended the contract of WR Keenan McCardell by two years, this being the only major news to come out of San Diego in recent weeks. The team did release fan favorite QB Doug Flutie, though his release will not affect the way the team prepares for the draft.

 

Look for the Chargers to spend a mid-round pick on a wide receiver, while they spend both of their first-round picks (No. 12 and 28 - acquired from the New York Giants) on the defensive side of the ball. San Diego is expected to go with a pass-rushing defensive end and improve their secondary as well. In regards to the receiver position, look for the team to put more emphasis into a receiver who can double as a return-man. They cut ties with speedy WR Tim Dwight as he was not living up to his paycheck and do not want to use WR Eric Parker on returns in 2005.

 

In closing, the majority of free agents of the unrestricted flavor are off the market, leaving only a few more changes ahead during the upcoming weeks. KFFL will be here with you every step of the way to stay on top of what is going on around the NFL, especially keeping you up to speed as the NFL draft quickly approaches!

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Cory Bonini really knows his $hit.

 

The Busy Teams...Dallas Cowboys

 

With the recent free agency binge by the Cowboys, it leaves one with some questions as to which direction the team would look in the draft. Remember, Dallas is the owner of two first-round selections in this year's draft (No. 11 and No. 20 - acquired from the Buffalo Bills during the 2004 NFL Draft).

 

The team has inked DT Jason Ferguson (Jets), CB Anthony Henry (Browns) and OG Marco Rivera (Packers) to help shore up specific needs. Now the team has a legitimate cornerback opposite of CB Terence Newman in Henry, alleviating the immediate desire to address the position during the early rounds of the draft. Ferguson fills their need as a capable run-stuffer in the middle, the type of player head coach Bill Parcells covets and the type of lineman needed to run a 3-4 defensive alignment. Rivera shores up the offensive line considerably, as he was a stalwart along the Green Bay Packers' offensive line for some time. He recently underwent surgery on his back to repair a herniated disc; he is expected to fully recover in time for training camp in July.

 

Now, how do these moves affect the Cowboys' plans for the draft? First off, the primary need for the team is a speedy pass rusher, either in the form of a defensive end or an outside linebacker. The Cowboys are switching to a 3-4 defense and released veteran LB Dexter Coakley, the team's fifth all-time leader in tackles, because he doesn't fit the new alignment. With their first selection, No. 11 overall, Dallas can now focus on either Maryland LB Shawne Merriman or Texas LB Derrick Johnson. While Johnson is widely viewed as the better overall prospect, Merriman is a more polished and accomplished pass rusher.

 

Looking at the No. 20 overall selection the Cowboys lay claim to, the defensive theme figures to continue. Look for the team go with a defensive end that also can get to the quarterback. "Why would the team go with the same type of player in the same round?" you may be asking yourself. Dallas finished 25th in the league in the sack column, finishing the year with only 33 sacks during the 2004 season. So, who does the team turn their attention to at No. 20? We have a strong inclination Dallas will select Oklahoma DE Dan Cody, mainly due to his ability to play both as a traditional defensive end and as a stand up rush-end.

 

 

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If we are truly going to the 3-4 I think DE and LB are our immediate needs, along with a WR and QB.  We should be able to get one, even two of the top 3 DEs if that is the direction the team goes.  What we are going to do with Glover could be interesting.  I'd like a quality WR in the second round for sure.

 

My wish list would include: Erasmus James and/or Dan Cody in the first round.  I think we could benefit from grabbing one of the FA LBs remaining as well.

 

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Merriman, then Cody then a WR would be fine by me. :D

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Cory Bonini really knows his $hit.

Merriman, then Cody then a WR would be fine by me.  :D

 

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I agree, the 2nd is going to NO for Darren Howard its lookin like.

 

So the Wr will have to come late, and they still didnt address the FS position, unless they see someone in round 4.

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Carolina Panthers

 

The Panthers lost WR Muhsin Muhammad after the two sides could not work out a restructuring of his contract. Muhammad regained his Pro Bowl form in 2004 when the team lost WR Steve Smith (ankle) for the season and essentially their entire fleet of tailbacks in the following weeks. The Panthers shifted rather nicely from a run-laden offensive approach to a vertical team nearly as dangerous as any in the league. The run-heavy game plan is likely to return in '05.

No, the Panthers were run heavy in the past because they had problems with who their starting QB was. I said before the 2004 season that the Panthers would be passing more now that they have Delhomme. It was true, but injuries to the RBs helped that happen as well as Delhomme being a great comeback QB.

 

I doubt the Panthers will remain a 1 dimensional offense as in the past.

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No Giants News???

:D

 

I thought they have been pretty active.

 

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"Active" appears relative - Chicago signed one WR and is labeled as "active". :D

 

GB has been labeled as "active" even though the only activity that's been coming from Lambeau way is some sort of remake of Cannonball Run featuring Pro Bowl players.

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