Scooby's Hubby Posted June 20, 2009 Share Posted June 20, 2009 It seems that after the top four backs (AP, Mojo, M. Turner and Forte) are picked, the uncertainty begins. Chris Johnson does split time with LenDale, S Jax does play for the Rams, and L.T. is aging. It seems that L.T. is hanging aroun 6th-8th pick: Is he worth that pick and who is equal or in his tier at RB or do you consider WR? 12 team league, NFL performance. Please advise. And yes, I am Scooby's husband for those that know her. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
piratesownninjas Posted June 20, 2009 Share Posted June 20, 2009 Yes, I'd absoltuely take him in that range. The guy wasn't healthy last year and was still the 6th scoring back in my league. He still has time to return to being the no.1 scoring back. Oh and I would have never guessed you were scoobys husband... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
irish Posted June 20, 2009 Share Posted June 20, 2009 Welcome Scooby's hubby. This happens to be the wrong forum to post this as there is a separate advice forum. However, after the four you mentioned SJax and Chris Johnson seem to be likely candidates to go before you start seeing WRs come off the board. I also believe that getting LT for one of the 6-8 picks is a fine selection as I think he'll rebound this year being healthy again and could very well be a Top 3-5 RB. I think taking LT right after the Top 4 are gone is fine as well. Some may disagree but that's what makes FF so great. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scooby's Hubby Posted June 20, 2009 Author Share Posted June 20, 2009 Welcome Scooby's hubby. This happens to be the wrong forum to post this as there is a separate advice forum. However, after the four you mentioned SJax and Chris Johnson seem to be likely candidates to go before you start seeing WRs come off the board. I also believe that getting LT for one of the 6-8 picks is a fine selection as I think he'll rebound this year being healthy again and could very well be a Top 3-5 RB. I think taking LT right after the Top 4 are gone is fine as well. Some may disagree but that's what makes FF so great. Which forum is for "Draft Strategy", value of picks, positions, and rankings? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tbimm Posted June 20, 2009 Share Posted June 20, 2009 Which forum is for "Draft Strategy", value of picks, positions, and rankings? That would be the advice forum. There a several guys that spend a good amount of time responding to these types of questions. Also Welcome aboard. Tell your honey I am still interested to know what they found out about her friend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bronco Billy Posted June 20, 2009 Share Posted June 20, 2009 LT's risk/reward quotient absoluetly fits him in that slot. The guy who doesn't seem to fit in that top 4 you named is Turner, who is dropping like a rock for some reason. His work load last year was relatively high, but I can't figure out how he falls out of the top 4 with Ryan entering the second year in his learning curve and the addition of Gonzalez figuring to open some wider running lanes in what has become a prolific offense. Turner figures to be capable of a lesser workload this year and still be capable of superb numbers. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randall Posted June 20, 2009 Share Posted June 20, 2009 (edited) Word is he's in great shape this year. The reward is huge so I would say yes but SJax and Gore could be good picks too. Edited June 20, 2009 by Randall Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
irish Posted June 20, 2009 Share Posted June 20, 2009 Word is he's in great shape this year. The reward is huge so I would say yes but SJax and Gore could be good picks too. True and yet from my experiences so far this year, Gore is falling into the 2nd round in a great deal of drafts. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randall Posted June 20, 2009 Share Posted June 20, 2009 True and yet from my experiences so far this year, Gore is falling into the 2nd round in a great deal of drafts. MFL ADP has this 1. Peterson, Adrian MIN RB 1.53 1 4 104 2. Jones-Drew, Maurice JAC RB 3.21 1 21 103 3. Forte, Matt CHI RB 4.39 1 20 108 4. Turner, Michael ATL RB 6.91 1 47 109 5. Fitzgerald, Larry ARI WR 7.54 1 37 105 6. Jackson, Steven STL RB 7.65 2 36 104 7. Johnson, Chris TEN RB 7.92 1 24 105 8. Johnson, Andre HOU WR 11.10 1 43 108 9. Johnson, Calvin DET WR 11.34 1 30 104 10. Williams, DeAngelo CAR RB 12.41 2 42 109 11. Gore, Frank SFO RB 12.52 4 41 106 12. Slaton, Steve HOU RB 16.17 2 52 106 13. Tomlinson, LaDainian SDC RB 18.96 2 85 108 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seahawks21 Posted June 20, 2009 Share Posted June 20, 2009 I'm still taking DWill ahead of LT, but I don't think he should fall much further than that. Truth is, nobody has any freakin' clue. LT may be done. He may have a few years left. He could be the #1 back this year. He could also easily fall from the top 20. LIterally anything could happen. We won't know until we see it. It is all about gut-feeling at this point. My gut tells me he will play pretty well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bronco Billy Posted June 20, 2009 Share Posted June 20, 2009 MFL ADP has this 1. Peterson, Adrian MIN RB 1.53 1 4 104 2. Jones-Drew, Maurice JAC RB 3.21 1 21 103 3. Forte, Matt CHI RB 4.39 1 20 108 4. Turner, Michael ATL RB 6.91 1 47 109 5. Fitzgerald, Larry ARI WR 7.54 1 37 105 6. Jackson, Steven STL RB 7.65 2 36 104 7. Johnson, Chris TEN RB 7.92 1 24 105 8. Johnson, Andre HOU WR 11.10 1 43 108 9. Johnson, Calvin DET WR 11.34 1 30 104 10. Williams, DeAngelo CAR RB 12.41 2 42 109 11. Gore, Frank SFO RB 12.52 4 41 106 12. Slaton, Steve HOU RB 16.17 2 52 106 13. Tomlinson, LaDainian SDC RB 18.96 2 85 108 I'd switch LT & Chris Johnson, an then switch DWill with Gore and feel very comfortable with that as a start for a cheatsheet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spider321 Posted June 20, 2009 Share Posted June 20, 2009 (edited) Gore TD's in THREE starting seasons = 23 DWill TD's in ONE starting season = 20 If I were drafting behind you and you took Gore over DWill, I would feel obligated to send you a "Thank You" card. Edited June 20, 2009 by spider321 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargerz Posted June 20, 2009 Share Posted June 20, 2009 I'm still taking DWill ahead of LT, but I don't think he should fall much further than that. Truth is, nobody has any freakin' clue. LT may be done. He may have a few years left. He could be the #1 back this year. He could also easily fall from the top 20. LIterally anything could happen. We won't know until we see it. It is all about gut-feeling at this point. My gut tells me he will play pretty well. Exactly. I have misgivings about drafting LT too high this year due to his potential for injury. As I stated in another thread he is a high reward/high risk pick this year. He's a second round pick IMO. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bronco Billy Posted June 21, 2009 Share Posted June 21, 2009 Gore TD's in THREE starting seasons = 23DWill TD's in ONE starting season = 20 If I were drafting behind you and you took Gore over DWill, I would feel obligated to send you a "Thank You" card. Do you always expect players to hit or exceed career highs the following season? Good luck with that...and you're welcome - the pleasure is all mine. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bronco Billy Posted June 21, 2009 Share Posted June 21, 2009 He's a second round pick IMO. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bronco Billy Posted June 21, 2009 Share Posted June 21, 2009 Gore TD's in THREE starting seasons = 23DWill TD's in ONE starting season = 20 If I were drafting behind you and you took Gore over DWill, I would feel obligated to send you a "Thank You" card. And since you are setting a three-year standard, here you go: Gore (past 3 years) 45 games 3833 yds rushing 19 rushing TDs 157 catches 1294 yds receiving 4 receiving TDs Williams (past 3 years) 45 games 2733 yds rushing 23 rushing TDs 78 catches 609 yds receiving 4 receiving TDs So which RB is the better option again? That's a 155 FF pt difference in favor of Gore in a non-ppr league, and a 233 FF pt difference in a ppr league. Now look at this coming year - Gore is the hoss of the 49ers with virtually no competition, whereas Williams is looking at sharing time with not only Stewart now, but Goodson also. Thanks for playing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spider321 Posted June 21, 2009 Share Posted June 21, 2009 (edited) ^ You're going to make your fantasy opponents very, very happy men. Edited June 21, 2009 by spider321 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FFBGuRu Posted June 21, 2009 Share Posted June 21, 2009 When it comes to deciding where LT should fall i fell it is a classic case of risk VS reward. He has the potential to dominate the league, and win you the championship, or at worst be a top 20 player. I feel that taking that chance with pick 4-8 lines your team up very nicely and would allow for you to pick another low risk high reward player in round 2. All these unknown entities are what makes fantasy football so great. Anyone can play, but it seems like the same people win ever year Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tazinib1 Posted June 21, 2009 Share Posted June 21, 2009 Exactly. I have misgivings about drafting LT too high this year due to his potential for injury. As I stated in another thread he is a high reward/high risk pick this year. He's a second round pick IMO. If you get him in the 2nd round, consider yourself blessed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargerz Posted June 21, 2009 Share Posted June 21, 2009 If you get him in the 2nd round, consider yourself blessed. All I'm saying is I hope all of those who draft him in the first round are rewarded all season with an uninjured LT who regains the speed he lost last year and has holes to run through that were nonexistent in 2008. Otherwise it's going to be a long, long year for LT owners. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westvirginia Posted June 21, 2009 Share Posted June 21, 2009 MFL ADP has this 1. Peterson, Adrian MIN RB 1.53 1 4 104 2. Jones-Drew, Maurice JAC RB 3.21 1 21 103 3. Forte, Matt CHI RB 4.39 1 20 108 4. Turner, Michael ATL RB 6.91 1 47 109 5. Fitzgerald, Larry ARI WR 7.54 1 37 105 6. Jackson, Steven STL RB 7.65 2 36 104 7. Johnson, Chris TEN RB 7.92 1 24 105 8. Johnson, Andre HOU WR 11.10 1 43 108 9. Johnson, Calvin DET WR 11.34 1 30 104 10. Williams, DeAngelo CAR RB 12.41 2 42 109 11. Gore, Frank SFO RB 12.52 4 41 106 12. Slaton, Steve HOU RB 16.17 2 52 106 13. Tomlinson, LaDainian SDC RB 18.96 2 85 108 No Portis??? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tazinib1 Posted June 21, 2009 Share Posted June 21, 2009 No Portis??? And Slaton at 1.12 is extremely laughable. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westvirginia Posted June 21, 2009 Share Posted June 21, 2009 I think I might put him about 7? He's definitely in the top-10 RB, IMO. I'd probably take him before 7 this year, only because I'm not sold on Forte and am just plain skeered of Turner after his heavy load last year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LosGatosEnFuegos Posted June 21, 2009 Share Posted June 21, 2009 All I'm saying is I hope all of those who draft him in the first round are rewarded all season with an uninjured LT who regains the speed he lost last year and has holes to run through that were nonexistent in 2008. Otherwise it's going to be a long, long year for LT owners. Can you (or any other SD homer) tell me about the line and FB situation? I think Neal leaving made a big impact on LT's numbers last year. Has the team made any changes on the line or at FB to make us hopeful of a better year? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargerz Posted June 22, 2009 Share Posted June 22, 2009 (edited) Can you (or any other SD homer) tell me about the line and FB situation? I think Neal leaving made a big impact on LT's numbers last year. Has the team made any changes on the line or at FB to make us hopeful of a better year? The hope for a better year rests largely on a lack of serious injuries and the improved performance from the right side of the line and the FB position. LT: Marcus McNeill is a Pro Bowl-caliber offensive tackle, but last year he had a neck injury that hampered him most of the season. Most reports are that his neck still isn't 100%. LG: Kris Dielman is solid and returns. C: Nick Hardwick is very good but had a foot injury last year that hampered him for the first half of the season. He needs to stay healthy. RG: Mike Goff is gone and Kynan Forney is penciled in as the starter but could lose his job if rookie Louis Vasquez develops quickly as expected. Big question mark here at this position. RT: Jeromey Clary returns as the starter. Most experts expected the Chargers to draft a high-profile tackle, but that didn't happen. Clary's run blocking was okay last season, but the knock on him was his sometimes inadequate pass protection. FB: Mike Tolbert and Jacob Hester are the returning veterans. In 2008 neither of them was impressive in run blocking. Neal was definitely missed. Last year I watched opposing defenses stack the line against the run on the left side and blitz more on the right side. We'll see if that trend continues in 2009. Edited June 22, 2009 by Chargerz Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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