Chachi Posted September 11, 2008 Share Posted September 11, 2008 So, one of my rules is to stay away from WRs in their first two years. I've been burned buying into hype in the past, but . . . but . . . damn, why is there always a but?!? Let me set the scene for you: It's late in the draft. I'm weak at WR, so I take a flyer on this kid in Denver that everybody is raving about, Eddie Royal. I mean, come on -- it was the 16th round! And then Monday night happens . . . he runs crisp routes. He's in motion all over the field. He's used on running plays and option passes. He blows up. I mean, he was the only guy on the field they needed to worry about, and they couldn't stop him. But what's the likelihood of that happening again? Yes, Brandon Marshall is coming back this week, but is having someone to take the double teams away from you a bad thing? He caught 9 of 11 passes thrown to him, so the rapport with Cutler is there. And the maturity . . . finding first down markers, throwing the ball away rather than forcing his first ever pass attempt . . . This got me thinking about rookie WRs, and I was surprised how recently there was a relevant rook. 2003, Anquan Boldin. 101 receptions for 1377 yards and 8 TDs. Not too shabby. I'm not foolish enough to think Royal will put up those kind of numbers, but is 80/1000/7 unreasonable to expect? Thoughts? Then there's this Jackson guy over in Philly . . . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
panhead55 Posted September 11, 2008 Share Posted September 11, 2008 I think you only have to go back to 2006 to find some unheard of rookie WR named Colston, who had a pretty fair rookie campaign. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chachi Posted September 11, 2008 Author Share Posted September 11, 2008 That's right -- he had those same #s, 70/1000/8. See, I've tried so hard to keep young WRs off my radar . . . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randall Posted September 11, 2008 Share Posted September 11, 2008 I think you only have to go back to 2006 to find some unheard of rookie WR named Colston, who had a pretty fair rookie campaign. The same year Jennings started strong but was hurt, Boldin, Randy Moss. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matt Henderson Posted September 11, 2008 Share Posted September 11, 2008 I was just offered Jackson for Earnest Graham... thanks, but no thanks Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roo Posted September 11, 2008 Share Posted September 11, 2008 And Calvin was good last year - he just got dinged. I think it's perfectly possible for Royal to have a great year. The key factor is maturity and hard work, and it sounds like this kid has it. I am going to sit him against SD simply because it's a tougher scenario and I want to give this a little time to pan out with Marshall. But Cutler is solid, they've developed report, and it's a strong offense overall. I think he'll end up being a high end #3 WR. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROYALWITCHEESE Posted September 12, 2008 Share Posted September 12, 2008 I think they'll see a lot of press coverage moving forward. I think they will have some success, but owners need to realize that week one could have been their best games of the season... Move them now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaptainHook Posted September 12, 2008 Share Posted September 12, 2008 Terry Glenn had a pretty good rookie year. So did Marvin Harrison. But they are the exception, not the rule. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Todd1 Posted September 12, 2008 Share Posted September 12, 2008 There are exceptions, and I did put waiver requests in for both Royal and then Jackson, but overall they are very, very risky to draft. Once they prove themselves, pick them up. Every year there are rookie RB's who are FF worthy starters. Only every few years is a rooki e WR worthy of starting regularly. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avernus Posted September 12, 2008 Share Posted September 12, 2008 There are exceptions, and I did put waiver requests in for both Royal and then Jackson, but overall they are very, very risky to draft. Once they prove themselves, pick them up. Every year there are rookie RB's who are FF worthy starters. Only every few years is a rooki e WR worthy of starting regularly. too late... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted September 12, 2008 Share Posted September 12, 2008 Dwayne Bowe had a good year last year....and on an AWFUL team.... It always seems like there is one rook every year....and it's never the guy that gets hyped. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Delicious_bass Posted September 12, 2008 Share Posted September 12, 2008 Both Jackson and Royal looked very good in their Week 1 games. I think the potential is there for them both to have good seasons(especially for rookies). That said, I think they both got more action due to the absence of a WR who is higher in the pecking order than they are and some of their success may be attributed to going against defenses that were not familiar with them. Starting this week, Marshall will be back to resume his role as the primary target for Cutler. Brown and Curtis will be back eventually to add more options for McNabb and further dilute the production of any one WR in that system. Plus, they dont play the Rams anymore this year. So I guess what I am trying to say is I think we should temper our expectactions for both DJ and ER as they are almost surely coming back to earth this week and not likely to consistently light it up like they did in Week 1. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gilthorp Posted September 12, 2008 Share Posted September 12, 2008 The last rookie WR I had on my roster that was drafted AND did great was Michael Clayton. 80/1200 and 7....he was gold. He had 87 catches the next three years. Less yardage total in those three years, and only one TD. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randall Posted September 12, 2008 Share Posted September 12, 2008 I think they'll see a lot of press coverage moving forward. I think they will have some success, but owners need to realize that week one could have been their best games of the season... Move them now. Yeah but teams are going to double Marshall. Royal was the strongest WR at the combine bench pressing 225 24 times. He's like Steve Smith in that regard. Week 1 was probably his best game but 100 yard 1 TD games are definitely possible. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randall Posted September 12, 2008 Share Posted September 12, 2008 Grabbed from another site. Since 1995 only three rookie WRs reached 100+ yards receiving in their first game. Two of those occurred this past week as Eagles rookie DeSean Jackson and Broncos rookie Eddie Royal joined Anquan Boldin as the only rookie WRs to reach 100+ yards receiving in their first game as a pro. In the five years that Anquan Boldin has been in the league he has finished with one top five ranking, two top ten rankings and four top twenty rankings. Rookie WRs with 100+ receiving yards in debut 2003 Anquan Boldin ARI, 217 yards, 2 TDs 2008 Eddie Royal DEN, 146 yards, 1 TD 2008 DeSean Jackson PHI, 106 yards Rookie WRs with 90-99 receiving yards in debut 1998 Randy Moss MIN, 95 yards, 2 TDs Rookie WRs with 80-89 receiving yards in debut 2002 Antwaan Randle El PIT, 87 yards 1996 Marvin Harrison IND, 85 yards, 1 TD 2002 Deion Branch NE, 83 yards, 1 TD 2001 JuJuan Dawson CLE, 83 yards, 1 TD Rookie WRs with 80-89 receiving yards in debut 2000 Plaxico Burress PIT, 77 yards 2003 Andre Johnson HOU, 76 yards 2007 Calvin Johnson DET, 70 yards, 1 TD 2004 Larry Fitzgerald ARI, 70 yards 1996 Eddie Kennison STL 70 yards Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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