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Andre Brown Rest of the Year projections


chris2114
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Am I the only one who thinks the NYG may become a timeshare a la Carolina when Ahmad returns? I am torn between selling high or actually stashing him

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Am I the only one who thinks the NYG may become a timeshare a la Carolina when Ahmad returns? I am torn between selling high or actually stashing him

 

 

I would guess that 100% of fantasy football owners think there will be some sort of timeshare but that 100% of them don't know what that share will be.

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I think the only thing that is certain is that Wilson is on the outside looking in. Well, that and there seems to be no chance that Brown doesn't get at least some meaningful reps even when Bradshaw comes back. I mean, what does it take?

 

However, it does bear mention that the Giants are the 3rd team in 3 weeks to have success running the ball vs the Panthers and the 2nd half of the Tampa game was so insane that you may not want to assume that's how it's going to be either.

 

In other words, regardless of Brown's role, the NYG running game as a whole may be hard-pressed to keep up the torrid pace it's been on in the last 6 quarters.

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I think he will get some reps, but not as many as some would like. I think once Bradshaw is back full then Brown won't be worth much more than a handcuff.

 

 

Bradshaw has some unique skills to offer an offense, but Brown can punish a defense with his running game way more effectively. I think they both may have some value, but I'd hedge a bet on Brown being the mainstay the rest of the way out.

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I agree with the RBBC scenario... it's what they did with Jacobs. The real metric is how well Brown can protect Eli. There was one missed block last night, but for the most part Eli had all day long in the pocket. A tough defense will define who gets what, but 50/50 sound about right for now.

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Pretty small sample to use to project. Remember Wilson looked phenomenal in the summer. Looking at preseason games, the total for both runners: Wilson (28-131, 4.7 ypc) and Brown (31-93, 3.0 ypc). And Wilson was playing against first teams and Brown always came in later and played against lesser defenses. The only game with Brown getting a lot of work was week 4 when he only gained 55 yards on 14 runs and fumbled on his first carry.

 

That is all to say I would maybe not anoint Brown as the Next Big Thing in NY quite yet after only two games. He had a total of (-1) yards in his first two seasons. CAR has now given up 4 rushing TDs and 3 RBs gained 95+ yards on them and they are ranked 31st against the run. That Brown would do well was expected because Bradshaw is out and Wilson is in the doghouse.

 

Brown had a few good runs against the visiting Buccaneers but was that really that impressive considering the Giants were at home after losing to Dallas and the Buccaneers were one of the worst teams versus the run in 2011. Plus NYG fell behind in that game and the defense was more worried against the pass (which gained 510 yards obtw).

 

Don't get me wrong, I am not saying Brown is a bad back. I am saying that he's probably just an average back who after two years of zero had a nice time for two games against weak opponents. About 90% of being a RB is about opportunity and he is making everything he can from what he is given but he takes a back seat when Bradshaw returns. What Brown has over Wilson now is two previous years in the system and Coughlin prefers veterans.

 

I think Wilson has more talent and he looked better in the preseason when he was used more and early in games. Brown did nothing special and he was playing against worse versions of the defense. Brown is definitely the one to own now over Wilson. But I would not overplay what the last two weeks meant. Brown was active in week one and was never given any work. He did not show up in week two until after the Wilson fumble and even then it was later in the 2nd quarter before he had a carry. The guy getting the start is all that really matters but I would not assume the talk about Brown will be as rosy by the end of the season as it is not after helping to replace Bradshaw against weaker opponents.

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Pretty small sample to use to project. Remember Wilson looked phenomenal in the summer. Looking at preseason games, the total for both runners: Wilson (28-131, 4.7 ypc) and Brown (31-93, 3.0 ypc). And Wilson was playing against first teams

 

 

Does playing against first team defenses in preseason matter? it seems like they wouldn't be going 100% anyway b/c players don't really want to get hurt.

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Wilson may have got the 1st team defenses but he also had his 1st team O line. If anything has been established, it's that a good O line > a good RB in most cases. The NYG O line has been playing lights out in the last 2 games, imo. Both in pass protection and run blocking. Brown has taken full advantage and looks better than Bradshaw and his bad feet. Bradshaw is a tough SOB but Brown looks every bit as tough with less mileage and a chip on his shoulder. I'm liking Brown at the moment.

 

Essentially, I agree with godtomsatan.

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Does playing against first team defenses in preseason matter? it seems like they wouldn't be going 100% anyway b/c players don't really want to get hurt.

 

 

Understood but by comparison of the two, Wilson played when there were better defenders on the field. So it is not as if Wilson had an advantage that Brown did not have.

 

Brown's best feature is that he is 226 lbs and bigger than the other backs on the roster. The Jacobs analogy would fit based on their past.

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Brown's best feature is that he is 226 lbs and bigger than the other backs on the roster. The Jacobs analogy would fit based on their past.

 

 

Wilson's his best feature is probably the 21 consecutive backflips he does....amazing for a man that size.

If anyone's not seen it, you can find it on youtube.

Edited by Atlas
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Understood but by comparison of the two, Wilson played when there were better defenders on the field. So it is not as if Wilson had an advantage that Brown did not have.

 

Brown's best feature is that he is 226 lbs and bigger than the other backs on the roster. The Jacobs analogy would fit based on their past.

 

I think is a dumb comment to make - yes Wilson played with better defenses but did Brown play with the #1 offense? My guess is no. Why look at only one half of the equation?? Just maybe the #2 defenses were better than Giants #2 offensive line?

 

I don't think you can just blindly say that Wilson played against better defenses than Brown did???

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That was not my point, it was that the two were comparable as I do not see WIlson as having an advantage in the preseason that Brown did not have.

 

Here is another thing about Brown that I find surprising. Usually running backs are either good or they are not. There is not a lot of "seasoning" for them. They either can hit the hole or not. Here is Brown's resume:

 

Year One

 

Drafted 4th round by NYG 2009. Never played but was on active roster.

 

Year Two

 

Waived by NYG on Sept.4 at 53 man cut

Signed by DEN

Waived by DEN on Sept. 15th

Resigned to DEN practice squad

Waived by DEN on OCT 16th

Awarded to IND on NOV 1

Signed to IND practice squad NOV 3rd

Signed to Active Roster NOV 6th,

Waived by Colts NOV 8th,

Awarded to CAR on NOV 9th

Waived by CAR NOV 16

Re-Signed to DEN practice squad on NOV 18th

Released from DEN practice squad on NOV 20th

Signed by WAS on NOV 25th

 

Year Three

 

Released by WAS on JUL 29th

Signed by NYG on AUG 2

Waived by NYG on SEPT 3rd again at 53 man cutdown

Signed to NYG practice squad Sept 4th

 

Year Four

 

Signed to NYG active roster on FEB 8th, 2012

 

He has been on 5 teams and is in his 4th NFL season. It is just highly unusual that that sort of RB suddenly becomes so much more than he has been for three previous years. He was on the practice squad with NYG last year when they needed help badly with Bradshaw missing four games and hobbled and Brandon Jacobs missing two games and really playing poorly. Opportunity is very much the key to RB success but long term for him to sustain what he has done against two fairly bad teams would just be truly "beating tremendous odds". I won't fight him if he can sustain it, but I will be surprised if we have anything like this conversation by week 16.

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