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Choosing my draft slot


msaint
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We just had our lottery to choose draft slots, meaning we draw names out of a hat, 1-12 and then guys can either keep the # they got (based on descending order 1-12), or move up/down based on available slots. i.e. #1 team goes first, can stay at #1 or take any other slot. Then #2 chooses...if #1 has moved down, he can move up to #1, stay put, or take any avail slot below, etc etc.

 

I drew #8. Now, I could end up keeping #8 based on what 1-7 do...OR, I could move up to get a better (conceivably) RB1 or down a couple slots to get a better 2nd round pick. So I guess I'm debating between....

 

* Moving down: Is there any real difference between a RB at #8 and a RB at, say, #10? My gut says that if I have a choice b/t #8 and a lower slot I shoiuld move down because there's not a helluva big gap between SJax, Lamont, Ronnie, Rudi, Caddy, all of whom could go in the 7-10 range. This might be my best option.

 

* Moving up: If I have the chance to move up to 4-6, would you? #4 intrigues me because I LOVE Portis this year -- hear he might be catching more out of backfield, too -- and he could be had at #4. So, is someone like Portis/Edge/Tiki at #4 that much better than SJax/Ronnie/Lamont at #8, esp. in a PPR league?

 

* Staying put: I might get SJax/Lamont/Ronnie at #7 and then possibly come back with Westbrook...again, a PPR league and Ronnie/Westbrook would be a nice start.

 

So many possibilities....thanks for any input. :D

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I like the idea of moving up if you can get Portis. Otherwise I would be more than happy to stay where you are and take Brown or SJax, I personally prefer Brown. I like Jordan in a ppr, but if you could nap Brown with #7-8 and then get Westbrook on the way back that would be a great start. I am not a huge Westbrook fan but in a ppr league he can be huge with catch numbers similar to #2 Wr's.

 

I would only move up if you can get Portis.

 

I would move down because like you said there isn't much difference between the RB's listed, although I move Rudi down a few in a ppr because he doesn't catch the ball.

 

Staying put works also if you can land Ronnie Brown.

 

With all of that said I didn't answer your question, but good luck.

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If I had my choice of slots here is the way I'd rank them:

 

1st option - 1-4 (LJ, LT, SA, CP) studs with no question marks

2nd option - 8-10 (RB, SJax, Caddy, Rudi) good value no quesion marks and fast turnaround for 2nd pick

3rd option - 11-12 (Lamont, DD or Willis) fast turn around top WR

4th option - 5-7 (Tiki, Edge, RB, SJax) pretty equal value to 2nd option with later turn around round 2 pick

 

So right now, you are sitting in my 2nd option but have to wait to see what 1-7 do before you can make the call.

Edited by Whiskey Pimp
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I would target to move down to 9 or 10. As you said, there is not a huge gap between 6 and 10 this year, and obviously a higher second round pick is better. If you really like Portis though, go on your hunch. However, imo I would rather stay put then move up to 4

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Given the flexibility, I would want to be as close to the top of the draft as you can get... my reasoning, because I think the 3rd round is such a key this year... 3rd round is where many people are going to pick up their #2 RB. I don't think there are as many quality #2 RB's available this season due to there being a lot of RBBC / handcuff situations.

 

I'd want #4 or #5 (or higher, but presumably you won't be able to go higher). Then you take RB, WR, RB.

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This is my order of preference:

3

2

1 (time in-between picks takes for EVER!)

4 (only because I like Portis)

10

11

12 (I like back to back picks, time in-between picks takes for EVER!)

9

8

7

6

5

 

As you can tell, I prefer to be at either end of the draft if possible. Picks 5 through 9 are my least favorite.

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this should go in the advice forum you noob ... :D

 

edited to add: i try to get the earliest pick i can ...

 

 

I know, I forced this one in...but it's also sort of a general strategy question, no? maybe? kinda? :D

Edited by msaint
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This is my order of preference:

3

2

1 (time in-between picks takes for EVER!)

4 (only because I like Portis)

10

11

12 (I like back to back picks, time in-between picks takes for EVER!)

9

8

7

6

5

 

As you can tell, I prefer to be at either end of the draft if possible. Picks 5 through 9 are my least favorite.

 

+1

 

If I was to pick after the 4th slot. I'd like to be 10, 11, 12... I think you can get a better 1-2 punch from there.

Just my :D

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yeah, maybe moving to 10 (or even 9) would be better than 8....get a more solid 2nd rounder and don't have to wait as long between picks as 11, 12.

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You're the published farking expert here. What the hell you need us for?

Oh wait. I read the book. You indeed need our help. :D

 

 

CHief, I'm a giver -- I like to throw the masses here a bone every now and then, make them feel smarter than they really are. :D....mostly the people in the Kansas City area. :D

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