vansmack32 Posted August 26, 2006 Share Posted August 26, 2006 i've read way too much on this topic and i STILL cannot tell if he'll be starting in week 1 i know denver has a game tonight, but as my draft is in 3 hours, i don't have the luxury of waiting my feeling - there's a reason a guy goes undrafted even though denver doesn't have many other options that ideally fit the scheme, i cannot believe he'll be the man this year (though i'd love to be convinced otherwise) any new insights out there? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayp Posted August 26, 2006 Share Posted August 26, 2006 I'd like to say living in Denver and hearing the local media would make some sense of the situation (other than M Bell is the #1), but my only read from reports out of camp is that it's M Bell's spot to lose. That said, I'd only take him at a discount as I think it's a little like Q Griffith situation a couple years ago...someone else could easily come out of the woodwork to get the carries. Especially with a couple poor performances/turnovers. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vansmack32 Posted August 26, 2006 Author Share Posted August 26, 2006 good insight - thanks i've read the same, and my feeling is that with a fumble (or two), he's riding pine. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeyes Posted August 26, 2006 Share Posted August 26, 2006 I got M. Bell in the 6th Rnd, (really 9th we keep 3) last sat. before his 73 and 2 td night. I'm thinking about starting him week 1 vs the Rams over R. Brown vs the Steelers, if all goes good tonight. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Primetime9287 Posted August 26, 2006 Share Posted August 26, 2006 I got M. Bell in the 6th Rnd, (really 9th we keep 3) last sat. before his 73 and 2 td night. I'm thinking about starting him week 1 vs the Rams over R. Brown vs the Steelers, if all goes good tonight. Haha I thought I was the only one.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
irish Posted August 26, 2006 Share Posted August 26, 2006 Mike Bell is the man there unless he gets injured or fumbles a ton. He's being drafted in the 3rd -4th rd in some leagues. If you wait and get him in the 6th that's a steal. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avernus Posted August 26, 2006 Share Posted August 26, 2006 Haha I thought I was the only one.... I have him in one league where I start him over Ronnie Brown too.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rattsass Posted August 26, 2006 Share Posted August 26, 2006 This is a classic "homerun" pick. It can either make or break your fantasy team. I took him in one of my keeper leagues, but I had the luxury of doing so as a 3rd RB. If he pans out, fine. If he doesn't, my team is still stacked anyway, so no huge loss. That is one scenario I would draft him. The other is if you gamble on the Stud WR theory, and try to pick up Bell in the 3rd or early 4th. But we all know Shenanigan and his evil ways. You have nobody to blame but yourself if it blows up!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avernus Posted August 26, 2006 Share Posted August 26, 2006 This is a classic "homerun" pick. It can either make or break your fantasy team. I took him in one of my keeper leagues, but I had the luxury of doing so as a 3rd RB. If he pans out, fine. If he doesn't, my team is still stacked anyway, so no huge loss. That is one scenario I would draft him. The other is if you gamble on the Stud WR theory, and try to pick up Bell in the 3rd or early 4th. But we all know Shenanigan and his evil ways. You have nobody to blame but yourself if it blows up!! yeah, I am taking him as a #3 as well... in a perfect world, I get him and CTaylor...but I may have Bell ahead of him just for the sheer fact he's playing behind a line that's had chemistry and is a well oiled machine... the Vikings OL still has to gel....so I have him 1 peg above... or I can draft a RB early, draft gates and a Tier 1 WR...then CTaylor and MBell....then finish out the WR's... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HowboutthemCowboys Posted August 26, 2006 Share Posted August 26, 2006 yeah, I am taking him as a #3 as well... in a perfect world, I get him and CTaylor...but I may have Bell ahead of him just for the sheer fact he's playing behind a line that's had chemistry and is a well oiled machine... the Vikings OL still has to gel....so I have him 1 peg above... or I can draft a RB early, draft gates and a Tier 1 WR...then CTaylor and MBell....then finish out the WR's... In my league,if I draft a rb early,then Gates and then a WR,Taylor and Bell will be gone... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtomicCEO Posted August 26, 2006 Share Posted August 26, 2006 I took him at 7.02. At that point, I had already gone RB, RB, WR, WR, TE, DF, and every other team had taken a starting QB and would be waiting on backup QBs... so I could afford to take the chance. If I had taken him before I had a solid core of starters, I would have been uncomfortable banking my season on him. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Dogs Posted August 26, 2006 Share Posted August 26, 2006 I have him in one league where I start him over Ronnie Brown too.. How many RB's are you starting. If 2, why not start alongside R.Brown. yeah, I am taking him as a #3 as well... in a perfect world, I get him and CTaylor...but I may have Bell ahead of him just for the sheer fact he's playing behind a line that's had chemistry and is a well oiled machine... the Vikings OL still has to gel....so I have him 1 peg above... or I can draft a RB early, draft gates and a Tier 1 WR...then CTaylor and MBell....then finish out the WR's... I'm with you here.... in one league, I've got LT, CTaylor (4th), and MBell (6th) and will probably start Bell over Taylor in week 1..... Got Chad J, and ReggieW in the 2nd /3rd, with Heap in 5th to compliment. My other league drafts tomorrow, and I'm 9th out of 12, but am still thinking of trying to get CTaylor in the 3rd/4th, and taking Mike in the 5th as I don't think he fall further in the league tomorrow... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bronco Billy Posted August 26, 2006 Share Posted August 26, 2006 (edited) I got M Bell at 4.04 for my 2nd RB in a 12 team DEN homers league on this past Tues. That allowed me to pick Holt & D Driver as my top 2 WRs behind R Brown at 1.09. That I could get a D McAllister/A Green/D Williams later in the draft (McAllister was my pick in the 8th round) to fill in my RB depth in case M Bell doesn't pan out for some reason,what I ended up with by going for M Bell later is a RB with significant potential to be a top 10/12 RB in the always strong DEN RB system, a seriously beefed up WR corps (added L Evans & A Johnson as my #3/#4 WRs in the 5th & 6th rounds), so my skill positions are very well set by playing QBBC with later picks. If you're going to play it safe, you're going to make the playoffs (hopefully) & get knocked out early. To be better than 11 other teams, you've got to be willing to take some risk on a RB who may perform well above their ADP - and M Bell fits that description. There are no guarantees in FF, but moderating some risk with some potentially high reward is the way to win leagues, not just finish in the middle. DEN RBs after T Davis always seem to drop further than they should because of misperceptions about Shanahan. Last year drafting M Anderson in the 9th round saved my team after 2nd round pick Cadillac Williams was hurt & ineffective for so many weeks. You just need to realize that despite all the nonsense being put forth about Shanahan & his RBs that the #1 RB in DEN usually outperforms his ADP by a significant margin - you just need to find the right guy, and finding the right guy means paying attention to Shanahan when he tells you who his #1 RB is. Q Griffin was the exception to the rule (of 11 years running, I might add), and he wasn't the #1 RB in the preseason - M Anderson was & would have started in '04 if it weren't for that stupid special teams injury at the end of the game in the late preseason. This year, that's M Bell. Pass on him in the 4th/5th round at your peril - if one of your opponents drafts him in that range, he's just gotten a leg up on your team - barring injury to M Bell. Edited August 26, 2006 by Bronco Billy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanxbolts Posted August 26, 2006 Share Posted August 26, 2006 I got him at 4.10 in a 12 team league as my #3 behind Alexander & Taylor - my leaguemates had no idea who he was which means I could've waited - but if your league has a clue I think he's a 4th or 5th rounder Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avernus Posted August 26, 2006 Share Posted August 26, 2006 (edited) How many RB's are you starting. If 2, why not start alongside R.Brown. I'm with you here.... in one league, I've got LT, CTaylor (4th), and MBell (6th) and will probably start Bell over Taylor in week 1..... Got Chad J, and ReggieW in the 2nd /3rd, with Heap in 5th to compliment. My other league drafts tomorrow, and I'm 9th out of 12, but am still thinking of trying to get CTaylor in the 3rd/4th, and taking Mike in the 5th as I don't think he fall further in the league tomorrow... I am starting them both because I have Brown at the flex... I started Jordan over Brown because of the matchup... in my local today, I drafted Bell in the 5th round (5.09) and I could have had him in the 6th... I could have taken Culpepper there and then grabbed Bell (edit: 12 team draft too ) Edited August 26, 2006 by Avernus Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Dogs Posted August 27, 2006 Share Posted August 27, 2006 I am starting them both because I have Brown at the flex... I started Jordan over Brown because of the matchup... in my local today, I drafted Bell in the 5th round (5.09) and I could have had him in the 6th... I could have taken Culpepper there and then grabbed Bell (edit: 12 team draft too ) Good to know as I've got the 9th in a local Sunday afternoon, and it's similiar to what I'll probably do Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AZZURRI Posted August 27, 2006 Share Posted August 27, 2006 my feeling - there's a reason a guy goes undrafted Wasn't Priest undrafted? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ramhock Posted August 27, 2006 Share Posted August 27, 2006 I got M Bell at 4.04 for my 2nd RB in a 12 team DEN homers league on this past Tues. Being a home league in Denver, what was their reaction to you selecting him there? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ebartender Posted August 27, 2006 Share Posted August 27, 2006 I have McGahee, Bush, and Mike Bell in my re-draft league. Hopefully two of them work out because my other RBs are DeAngelo Williams & Greg Jones. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scooby Posted August 27, 2006 Share Posted August 27, 2006 I drafted 7 RB's yesterday in my local 12-team league, which I still can't believe, but I gambled on Mike Bell in the 4th round and picked him as my #2 back behind LT2. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bronco Billy Posted August 27, 2006 Share Posted August 27, 2006 Being a home league in Denver, what was their reaction to you selecting him there? A lot of grumbling with "nice pick" attached. I think he was the guy everyone was worried about drafting too soon, and so M Bell kept sliding. Based upon the reaction, I'd have to guess at least 5 other guys had him targeted as a value pick in th 4th round. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cliaz Posted August 27, 2006 Share Posted August 27, 2006 We keep two players and lose that round they were drafted in so I had rudi johnson as a 2nd rounder and larry fitz as a 6th. My drafted backfield went like this: McGahee Rudi (keeper) M. bell. If bell pans out, I have a great year, if he doesn't , I don't make the playoffs. because I have no depth after them in RB. So here is to hoping he is the man and get s 1200 yards and 8 to 10 tds. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
giantsfan Posted August 27, 2006 Share Posted August 27, 2006 A lot of grumbling with "nice pick" attached. I think he was the guy everyone was worried about drafting too soon, and so M Bell kept sliding. Based upon the reaction, I'd have to guess at least 5 other guys had him targeted as a value pick in th 4th round. If Bell went 4.04 in your 12 teamer when did Gore go? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeezNuts Posted August 27, 2006 Share Posted August 27, 2006 If Bell went 4.04 in your 12 teamer when did Gore go? In our 14 TEAM league yesterday... Gore went 3.5... I jumped on Bell at 3.13, Droughns went 3.14 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wolv Posted August 27, 2006 Share Posted August 27, 2006 (edited) I got him at 4.10 in a 12 team league as my #3 behind Alexander & Taylor - my leaguemates had no idea who he was which means I could've waited - but if your league has a clue I think he's a 4th or 5th rounder Thats exactly right. Sometimes those of us with the 'inside' info tend to jump on a player earlier than necessary cuz we think others have that info as well. When you take players like that and everyone goes you know you screwed up. I took a chance and got Bell in the 6th in a 10 man redraft. I had Gore targeted for a mid pick as well, but the guys in the league weren't THAT uninformed and he went in the 4th. Edited August 27, 2006 by Wolv Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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