matt770 Posted July 25, 2006 Share Posted July 25, 2006 First round you took a stud RB, second you went with the best WR available. In the third round you know the RB position will be depleted quickly if you don't pick one now. If you disagree with taking an RB here, assume someone has a gun to your head and will blow you away if you pick anything other than an RB. Your choices: Chester Taylor Reuben Droughns Kevin Jones Julius Jones Willie Parker Warrick Dunn Tatum Bell Jamal Lewis Reggie Bush Joseph Addai Thomas Jones Who do you think is the safest pick? Who do you think has the most upside to perform more like a first rounder than a third? My choices are in the order I put them in above. I took into consideration their offensive system, likelihood of getting the most touches, likelihood to just plain bust because they suck, and injury risk. The reason I pose this question is that I hold my nose every time I'm faced with drafting one of these guys. They all have a history of injury, or they have busted in recent years, or have risk to lose touches (or TDs) to another RB. I don't think any of them are "safe" enough for my comfort, especially to burn such a precious early pick. Yet I know that if I skip RB here, there will be even slimmer pickins in the 4th. What's your strategy? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NAUgrad Posted July 25, 2006 Share Posted July 25, 2006 (edited) I like Taylor and Parker. I think Taylor has major upside this year and Parker isn't far behind. I'd wait however on both and watch a little preseason to see where they end up and how they look with a little playing time. This also applies to Thomas Jones, although I'm pretty sure at best he's going to be splitting time. I'd also take a serious look at Kevin Jones. If the new offense seems to be blocking better and they appear to be throwing it more, then he may move up to #1 on the list. Either way, I'd grab anothe RB either the next round, or rnd 5 so you have 3 decent ones to play with. Edited July 25, 2006 by NAUgrad Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Goopster24 Posted July 25, 2006 Share Posted July 25, 2006 That is a nice list to play around with. I love Kevin Jones and I think he should be able to explode in the new offense. If he stays healthy, he will no doubt outperform his draft position. Chester Taylor is getting a lot of love lately so I wouldn't be against drafting him either. But for the great word potential, I think Kevin Jones is your boy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keggerz Posted July 25, 2006 Share Posted July 25, 2006 it depends on who my exact first two picks are...now if you can list your first two picks then go ahead and make a new thread in the correct forum for a question like that and I will gladly answer that question for this question there are to many variables that were not addressed Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Azazello1313 Posted July 25, 2006 Share Posted July 25, 2006 i think i go with jamal lewis and then another one of those guys in the next round Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bones1979 Posted July 25, 2006 Share Posted July 25, 2006 i think i go with jamal lewis and then another one of those guys in the next round K Jones Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
irish Posted July 25, 2006 Share Posted July 25, 2006 (edited) Easy K jones. However, I think that it depends on what position you are drafting from and how many teams are drafting. as I think close to half that list could already be off the board. In a 12-14 team league K jones, Taylor, Droughns, Parker, J jones, Bush and maybe even Jamal will be gone. In a 10 team league I think KJ, JJ, Droughns, Parker and maybe even Bush will be gone by the 3rd round. Edited July 25, 2006 by irish Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avernus Posted July 25, 2006 Share Posted July 25, 2006 Taylor or Droughns...then KJ... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
irish Posted July 25, 2006 Share Posted July 25, 2006 Taylor or Droughns...then KJ... I hope the guys in my league feel this way as well and leave me K. Jones. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avernus Posted July 25, 2006 Share Posted July 25, 2006 I hope the guys in my league feel this way as well and leave me K. Jones. awesome Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alexgaddis Posted July 25, 2006 Share Posted July 25, 2006 KJ first then Taylor Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blaw23 Posted July 25, 2006 Share Posted July 25, 2006 I like JJ, although I have him just one slot above Droughns. With KJ a close third, if faced with that pick though I would probably go with Droughns, you know he will get a good amount of carries and was a decent #2 back last year. Although I like Taylor's potential, who knows really what he will do in a completely new offense and his first time being a full time starter. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulOttCarruth Posted July 25, 2006 Share Posted July 25, 2006 Safest pick: Warrick Dunn Most upside: Addai Who I'd pick: Parker -- based on him providing the best balance between being "safe" and having upside. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
i_am_the_swammi Posted July 25, 2006 Share Posted July 25, 2006 (edited) I'd check about that "gun to your head being loaded"...then pick the best player on the board. Though I am not sure how many picks go by until your 4th-round selection, but assume that one of the RBs you listed (since there are so many) is still there when you are on the clock again. While there may be one or two that "appear" have more slightly value, any of the RBs you list could have Top-10 years, or be busts, for all the reasons you mentioned. Based on the thinking that they are all the same, and its a crapshoot with any of them, I'd take another Top WR to give you a phenomenal pair of wideouts, or Gates if is is a TE mandatory league, and then draft whatever RB falls to you in the 4th. You yourself said they are all similar and have their own question marks. Unless you have a compelling reason to draft one, why be the first to choose from this list of low 2nd/high 3rd tier RBs, when you can grab another Top-10 WR, and take whoever is left to you from the list in the 4th? Guarnateed someone from that list will still be there when you pick again, and from the responses you have received, it could be any of them. Let the other coaches try to predict the future...you just go out and grab the best player on the board. Edited July 25, 2006 by i_am_the_swammi Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
irish Posted July 25, 2006 Share Posted July 25, 2006 (edited) I'd check about that "gun to your head being loaded"...then pick the best player on the board. Though I am not sure how many picks go by until your 4th-round selection, but assume that one of the RBs you listed (since there are so many) is still there when you are on the clock again. While there may be one or two that "appear" have more slightly value, any of the RBs you list could have Top-10 years, or be busts, for all the reasons you mentioned. Based on the thinking that they are all the same, and its a crapshoot with any of them, I'd take another Top WR to give you a phenomenal pair of wideouts, or Gates if is is a TE mandatory league, and then draft whatever RB falls to you in the 4th. You yourself said they are all similar and have their own question marks. Unless you have a compelling reason to draft one, why be the first to choose from this list of low 2nd/high 3rd tier RBs, when you can grab another Top-10 WR, and take whoever is left to you from the list in the 4th? Guarnateed someone from that list will still be there when you pick again, and from the responses you have received, it could be any of them. Let the other coaches try to predict the future...you just go out and grab the best player on the board. I know it's not you're opinion it was the original posters but just my 2 cents no way in Hell do i leave round 3 without 2 backs. K. Jones would be all mine. Followed by 1 of Parker, Droughns or Taylor. I would never take a QB that early and after about the Top 8 WRs they fall off so they can wait too. So I'll get a great RB a Top 5 WR and a very solid RB. After that I'll play the rest out. Edited July 25, 2006 by irish Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest MustOfBeenDrunk Posted July 25, 2006 Share Posted July 25, 2006 KJ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duchess Jack Posted July 25, 2006 Share Posted July 25, 2006 gotta be KJ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartans91 Posted July 25, 2006 Share Posted July 25, 2006 No way KJ would top my list. If Martz has his way, they will never run the ball in Detroit (I don't remember the Rams really pounding it out on the Ground under the genius) I think Dunn is far and away the safest pick and think Julius Jones and Chester Taylor have the most upside. Droughns is the most boring selection. Enjoy his 2-3 Tds if you take him. Personally, I would take another WR (a very good one too, I imagine in the 3rd) in this spot and still get one of those RBs listed as the QBs, WR, and TEs begin to fly off the board into the 4th round leaving behind the Droughns, Parkers of the world. Jeff Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NAUgrad Posted July 25, 2006 Share Posted July 25, 2006 No way KJ would top my list. If Martz has his way, they will never run the ball in Detroit (I don't remember the Rams really pounding it out on the Ground under the genius) I think Dunn is far and away the safest pick and think Julius Jones and Chester Taylor have the most upside. Droughns is the most boring selection. Enjoy his 2-3 Tds if you take him. Personally, I would take another WR (a very good one too, I imagine in the 3rd) in this spot and still get one of those RBs listed as the QBs, WR, and TEs begin to fly off the board into the 4th round leaving behind the Droughns, Parkers of the world. Jeff Dunn is no better than Droughns. Dunn gets yards but no TD's. He's as consistent an average scorer as they come with almost no upside. KJ or Taylor would be my pick. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KUBJPO01 Posted July 25, 2006 Share Posted July 25, 2006 Personally, I'd take Julius Jones and back him up later w/ Marion Barber. Next to him I like Droughns. Despite his lack of TD total last year, I think he's the def. #1 and will improve upon last yrs totals. Not sold on Taylor at this point but maybe we'll see more in preseason. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
loaf Posted July 26, 2006 Share Posted July 26, 2006 Just an FYI Kevin Jones plays Chicago week 16 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
godtomsatan Posted July 26, 2006 Share Posted July 26, 2006 Wow. I'm either going to dominate my leagues this year, or suffer dramatically with my contrarian views. Willie Parker is the answer to all those questions. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jzicc Posted July 26, 2006 Share Posted July 26, 2006 Wow. I'm either going to dominate my leagues this year, or suffer dramatically with my contrarian views. Willie Parker is the answer to all those questions. Not sure of Willie (I'm from Pittsburgh); I like the order of your list (although I would bump taylor down 3 spots on your list) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pitbull739 Posted July 26, 2006 Share Posted July 26, 2006 (edited) K. Jones and Parker Edited July 26, 2006 by Pitbull739 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pirate Posted July 26, 2006 Share Posted July 26, 2006 (edited) I'd check about that "gun to your head being loaded"...then pick the best player on the board. Though I am not sure how many picks go by until your 4th-round selection, but assume that one of the RBs you listed (since there are so many) is still there when you are on the clock again. While there may be one or two that "appear" have more slightly value, any of the RBs you list could have Top-10 years, or be busts, for all the reasons you mentioned. Based on the thinking that they are all the same, and its a crapshoot with any of them, I'd take another Top WR to give you a phenomenal pair of wideouts, or Gates if is is a TE mandatory league, and then draft whatever RB falls to you in the 4th. You yourself said they are all similar and have their own question marks. Unless you have a compelling reason to draft one, why be the first to choose from this list of low 2nd/high 3rd tier RBs, when you can grab another Top-10 WR, and take whoever is left to you from the list in the 4th? Guarnateed someone from that list will still be there when you pick again, and from the responses you have received, it could be any of them. Let the other coaches try to predict the future...you just go out and grab the best player on the board. DITTO!!! I couldn't have said it better I couldn't have said it better!!!! Edited July 26, 2006 by pirate Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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