purplemonster Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 I hope I am wrong but I am expecting this to somewhat be a blowout. The Rams DL is a bad matchup for anyone but really not great for the Bengals. the Rams are not too shabby in the backfield either and they can put Ramsey on Chase I would imagine. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purplemonster Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 4 minutes ago, LordOpie said: I hope burrow doesn't get hurt Well, I think he's learned and is getting the ball out quickly, whether the line has collapsed or not, because he knows it will. I would imagine they will be focusing on all kinds of quick hitters Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
League_Champion Posted February 1, 2022 Author Share Posted February 1, 2022 The line has already moved a full point. Rams -4.5 now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
darin3 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 6 hours ago, League_Champion said: The line has already moved a full point. Rams -4.5 now. Ewww don't like that at all. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gopher Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Anything to make of the "home field advantage" for the Rams? Man, back in 2017, I remember thinking how awesome it would have been for MIN to have had home field advantage throughout the playoffs (and then the SB in MIN). Of course, they choked against DET (at home), which basically gave away that home field advantage. Then, the miracle against NOS, followed by a complete butt-whooping at the hands of the Eagles in the NFC title game. Ugh. This feels different than that felt like it WOULD have been. Is there any advantage at all for the Rams? For one, as we all know, most SB tickets go to corporations, so the percentage of seats taken by actual fans of the two teams is watered down to begin with. But, more importantly, the Rams only managed to fill about 1/3 of their stadium LAST week (it was roughly 65% 49er fans). That's not a good sign, but maybe the Rams fans were saving their $$ for the SB? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
darin3 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 8 minutes ago, Gopher said: Anything to make of the "home field advantage" for the Rams? Man, back in 2017, I remember thinking how awesome it would have been for MIN to have had home field advantage throughout the playoffs (and then the SB in MIN). Of course, they choked against DET (at home), which basically gave away that home field advantage. Then, the miracle against NOS, followed by a complete butt-whooping at the hands of the Eagles in the NFC title game. Ugh. This feels different than that felt like it WOULD have been. Is there any advantage at all for the Rams? For one, as we all know, most SB tickets go to corporations, so the percentage of seats taken by actual fans of the two teams is watered down to begin with. But, more importantly, the Rams only managed to fill about 1/3 of their stadium LAST week (it was roughly 65% 49er fans). That's not a good sign, but maybe the Rams fans were saving their $$ for the SB? As you mention it'll be different for the SB, but local radio was saying it was 65% RAMS fans, not the other way around, last week. Still, there has to be at least a slight advantage to playing on your home turf. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
League_Champion Posted February 1, 2022 Author Share Posted February 1, 2022 49 minutes ago, darin3 said: Ewww don't like that at all. I know, that's something to keep an eye on. Perhaps it's because of the Rams injuries from last week,?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stevegrab Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 The 49ers had a lot of fans at that game, but I don't think it was 2/3 may have been close to half. They were loud, but then as the Rams were moving towards the win their side was really loud. And I doubt even if more tickets were available that Bengals fans would travel in those numbers. Regarding home field advantage, not having to travel somewhere else for the game should help. Not sure if the players and coaches would still be in a hotel a few days before the game, or just treat it like any other regular season game and show up that morning. The Rams (even recent additions like Von Miller and OBJ) have played several games at SoFi, the Bengals have not played their yet, despite playing the Chargers both of the seasons since it opened. So if there is anything unique about playing there, getting used to stuff inside like how the sunlight comes in thru the glass, roof etc (SB will start a couple hours before sunset in LA). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purplemonster Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 (edited) 31 minutes ago, LordOpie said: fun fact... 80% of the worlds private jets* will be in LA for the game. * that doesn't recreational airplanes, just actual jets I was curious about this bc that number seemed way too high to me. I don't know how they are calculating it but this report seems to indicate there are roughly 22K private jets worldwide. (63% or 13,700 in the US) https://www.stratosjets.com/blog/private-jet-statistics/#121_How_many_private_jets_are_there_in_the_United_States And other reports from prev SB's said something like 1000 to 1500 jets fly in. It is LA so I am sure it will be higher, but I'd be surprised at much more than 3-4K? https://www.sherpareport.com/aircraft/super-bowl-private-jets-numbers.html Edited February 1, 2022 by purplemonster Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purplemonster Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Just now, LordOpie said: I don't know the definitions. My wife works for a private jet company. Half the team is excited for all this, the other half is in absolute panic. Her company is sending personnel from all over the USA to assist with the madness. Which leaves all the other locations short handed for departures and arrivals at those locations. My wife wanted to go, but they need the managers to stay put. Ah interesting. There is a small airport near me and it is sort of fascinating. The private plane world is its own little world Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stevegrab Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 17 minutes ago, purplemonster said: I was curious about this bc that number seemed way too high to me. I don't know how they are calculating it but this report seems to indicate there are roughly 22K private jets worldwide. (63% or 13,700 in the US) https://www.stratosjets.com/blog/private-jet-statistics/#121_How_many_private_jets_are_there_in_the_United_States And other reports from prev SB's said something like 600 to 1500 jets fly in. It is LA so I am sure it will be higher, but I cant imagine much more than 3-4K. 2 minutes ago, LordOpie said: I don't know the definitions. My wife works for a private jet company. Half the team is excited for all this, the other half is in absolute panic. Her company is sending personnel from all over the USA to assist with the madness. Which leaves all the other locations short handed for departures and arrivals at those locations. My wife wanted to go, but they need the managers to stay put. Did she provide the fun fact? If the 22K private jets worldwide is even close to accurate, 80% would be 17600, or about 10 time the maximum from prior SBs, which seems unlikely. A bigger factor in this 80% figure might be just how many private jets are normally in LA to begin with, because they are based there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purplemonster Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 14 minutes ago, stevegrab said: Did she provide the fun fact? If the 22K private jets worldwide is even close to accurate, 80% would be 17600, or about 10 time the maximum from prior SBs, which seems unlikely. A bigger factor in this 80% figure might be just how many private jets are normally in LA to begin with, because they are based there. I would think that's probably true I would imagine the LA area would have the highest concentration of private jets in the country along with NY so those are probably getting counted. I wouldn't be surprised though if a ton of people are going. This pandemic has gone on quite a while and this is one of the first major parties, in a huge international city. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stevegrab Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 hour ago, purplemonster said: I would think that's probably true I would imagine the LA area would have the highest concentration of private jets in the country along with NY so those are probably getting counted. I wouldn't be surprised though if a ton of people are going. This pandemic has gone on quite a while and this is one of the first major parties, in a huge international city. No doubt, hopefully those flocking to LA for the SB realize it is not FL or TX and has lots of restrictions, including mask and vaccine requirements for many things. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gopher Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 3 hours ago, darin3 said: As you mention it'll be different for the SB, but local radio was saying it was 65% RAMS fans, not the other way around, last week. Still, there has to be at least a slight advantage to playing on your home turf. I agree with the bolded. As for the other part, there's no way they had more than half, unless they were wearing red. From the LA Times - Rams Fans Outnumbered Again Quote Rams fans were outnumbered. An unofficial tally estimates it was a 60-40 split, though both sides were loud enough for both teams to use a silent snap count on offense. I do think it's an interesting question. In my opinion, no fan base is more fickle than that of LA. That said, if there was a fan base that has the money to buy the tickets for the SB, it would probably be them. It will be interesting to see how it plays out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
League_Champion Posted February 2, 2022 Author Share Posted February 2, 2022 Current line Rams vs. Bengals spread: Los Angeles -4.5 Rams vs. Bengals over-under: 48.5 points Rams vs. Bengals money line: Los Angeles -200, Cincinnati +170 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dcat Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1st instinct (not sure if that's a positive or a negative TBH): Bengals +points, also some on Bengals ML. I need to know about injuries... both TEs, Van Jefferson etc 1st. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
darin3 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 I do like the over quite a bit. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dcat Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 34 minutes ago, darin3 said: I do like the over quite a bit. NFL over/unders this year killed any profits I was making vs the spread. 2020 as a whole NFL betting was way more kind to me than 2021 NFL betting, but the exact opposite for fantasy. Go figure. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
League_Champion Posted February 2, 2022 Author Share Posted February 2, 2022 41 minutes ago, darin3 said: I do like the over quite a bit. I totally agree Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purplemonster Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Usually I have thoughts on the o/u, not sure about this one. The over seems tempting but not so sure Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gilthorp Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 This is all the analysis you need. Teams wearing white have dominated recent Super Bowls. In the 17 Super Bowls that have been played since 2005, the team wearing white has won 14 of them, which makes it slightly surprising that the Bengals didn't go with white. Last year, the Buccaneers were the home team playing the Super Bowl in their home stadium and they still decided to wear their road white uniform. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purplemonster Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 8 hours ago, gilthorp said: This is all the analysis you need. Teams wearing white have dominated recent Super Bowls. In the 17 Super Bowls that have been played since 2005, the team wearing white has won 14 of them, which makes it slightly surprising that the Bengals didn't go with white. Last year, the Buccaneers were the home team playing the Super Bowl in their home stadium and they still decided to wear their road white uniform. This isn't something I have really put much thought into before. But NFL at least for a while, was unique in allowing the home team to select what color they'd want to wear. The Cowboys in particular are somewhat unique in that they essentially always play in white at home, although others do not infrequently as well, like WFT (Commanders), Bengals, Titans etc. http://www.espn.com/espn/page2/story?page=lukas/050919 There is some research in the NHL wearing dark jerseys gets you more penalties, maybe the same in the NFL, I don't know. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/258189625_Can_Uniform_Color_Color_Aggression_Quasi-Experimental_Evidence_From_Professional_Ice_Hockey Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stevegrab Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 11 hours ago, purplemonster said: This isn't something I have really put much thought into before. But NFL at least for a while, was unique in allowing the home team to select what color they'd want to wear. The Cowboys in particular are somewhat unique in that they essentially always play in white at home, although others do not infrequently as well, like WFT (Commanders), Bengals, Titans etc. http://www.espn.com/espn/page2/story?page=lukas/050919 There is some research in the NHL wearing dark jerseys gets you more penalties, maybe the same in the NFL, I don't know. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/258189625_Can_Uniform_Color_Color_Aggression_Quasi-Experimental_Evidence_From_Professional_Ice_Hockey Just an odd coincidence, no real correlation in team uniform color and chance of winning the SB. Since they cut off their "analysis" with 2007, what were the results in the 40+ SBs before then? I had heard wearing lighter colors outdoors, in the sun, in summer heat mattered. But most of those factors are not present for a SB. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
League_Champion Posted February 5, 2022 Author Share Posted February 5, 2022 "2022 Super Bowl odds, predictions, Rams vs. Bengals player props: Expert picks include 100-1 prop bet" https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/2022-super-bowl-odds-predictions-rams-vs-bengals-player-props-expert-picks-include-100-1-prop-bet/amp/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gopher Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.